T.S.Alberto forms

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, May 25, 2018.

  1. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Some things never change lol
     
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  2. Panhandler

    Panhandler Well-Known Member

    238
    Oct 27, 2015
    Where part are you at, panhandle? that sucks you didn't get some, it was just a bit smaller than forecasted but really fun, clean lines with many long rides from the sandbar to the beach break on the LB. Stoke tank is topped off
     
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  3. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    He isn’t in Panhandle, he’s in WFL.
     
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  4. Panhandler

    Panhandler Well-Known Member

    238
    Oct 27, 2015
    Got it, yeah we can really get skunked here too, but I was in Naples for 9 years and that was fffllllaaattt, but easier and faster to get to the EC
     
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  5. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Flhurricane.com :


    GFS showing a landfall near ft walton beach tomorrow around noon at 985mb (Strong TS/borderline hurricane) This system seems to be out of the strong easterly shear now and is beginning to wrap around to the west, pulling dry air in the south side, which hopefully will be enough to keep it away from hurricane strength.

    Model track is a bit iffy, so prefer the NHC track. There's a big tail of rain east of Florida that will probably get pulled into the peninsula later today. Smaller, but stronger bands are coming up along the west coast (one near Naples right now) and another big band over N. Florida.”
     
  6. StuckontheGulf

    StuckontheGulf Well-Known Member

    524
    Apr 23, 2012
    I take it back. We went to beach st in Anna Maria and it was pretty damn good for 2 hours before rhe wind turned out of the south. Shoulder high side off and thumping. Good way to kick off the tropical season!
     
  7. eatswell

    eatswell Well-Known Member

    997
    Jul 14, 2009
    I have a friend of the family, who is really into surfing (as well as golfing and boating), retired in his early 50's, could have retired anywhere (like Hawaii or the Atlantic Coast of Florida), but instead decided to retire to Anna Maria Island. We never for the life of us could understand why he chose there, since he loves surfing. He always said because he also wanted time to do other things like golf and ride his boat and he'd be too tempted to surf every day if there was an abundance of waves.

    I'm sure he got out today, you may have even shared some waves with him tonight. I know when it gets really flat, he'll take a day trip to Cocoa, New Smyrna, Sebastian, etc.
     
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  8. eatswell

    eatswell Well-Known Member

    997
    Jul 14, 2009
    I usually go to the Gulf every year, sometimes for a couple weeks in July. My mom lives in Treasure Island, and a lot of my family lives in that area. I also go to visit my best friend's family in Venice, which is where we usually stay with them. I never get any kind of decent waves when I'm there, we usually have to take a day trip to the East Coast.:p
     
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  9. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Subtropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number 13
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
    400 AM CDT Mon May 28 2018

    Alberto is holding its strength this morning. The Air Force
    Hurricane Hunters investigated the cyclone a few hours ago and found
    winds to the north of the center that still support an intensity of
    about 55 kt.

    The aircraft data and a NOAA buoy near the center also
    indicate that the minimum pressure has dropped a little more to 990
    mb. Deep convection remains patchy, however, due to pronounced dry
    slots, but Doppler radar images do show some convective bands moving
    onshore over the Florida Panhandle.

    Given the short period of time before Alberto makes landfall,
    its overall ragged appearance, and proximity to dry air, little
    change in strength is expected before the subtropical storm reaches
    the coast this afternoon.

    Once Alberto is inland, land interaction should cause steady weakening to a subtropical depression tonight or early Tuesday and to a remnant low by Tuesday afternoon. The global
    models show the low being absorbed by a frontal system over the
    Great Lakes region by day 5. The NHC intensity forecast is largely
    an update of the previous one, and is in line with the majority of
    the guidance.

    The center of Alberto has wobbled to the left and slowed down
    significantly during the past 6 hours, but a longer-term motion is
    northwestward, or 315 degrees, at 6 kt. A north-northwestward to
    northward motion along the western periphery of a mid-level ridge is
    expected during the next few days taking Alberto, or its remnants,
    over the Florida Panhandle and then well inland over the Tennessee
    and Ohio Valleys.

    A turn to the northeast is predicted before
    Alberto's remnants are absorbed by the above-mentioned frontal
    system. The models are in fairly good agreement, and only small
    changes were made to the previous NHC track prediction.
     
  10. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    #Alberto's current central pressure of 991 mb is the lowest for an Atlantic named storm during May since Subtropical Storm Alpha in 1972.— tweet from Philip Klotzbach

    9:28 PM - May 27, 2018
     
  11. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    July doesn’t offer much, unless a storm is out there. Try Venice in the Winter / Spring when there is a front coming from the NW. Those WNW / NW swells peel off that Jetty forever. Great spot when it all comes together.
     
    Last edited: May 28, 2018
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  12. StuckontheGulf

    StuckontheGulf Well-Known Member

    524
    Apr 23, 2012
    Cool man. Believe it or not I live in TI too. Here's the link from Anna Maria http://www.gulfster.com/Daily/2018PictureGallery/tropical-storm-alberto-surf-052718-2/index.html
     
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  13. eatswell

    eatswell Well-Known Member

    997
    Jul 14, 2009
    I don't even know if we're gonna go this year, we just didn't have enough time last summer to go, as I was in Southern California for a side gig I do during the weeks we usually go. It worked out better because I got to to surf!:D

    Not sure if we're gonna go this year. I have a side gig that I do, which is taking me to Asia for a week in August. Not for surfing, but I will be in Indonesia for a day and will maybe rent a boart for a few hours IF I have time, which hopefully I do. I will make a trip to Oahu between now and the second week of September. If it's the last thing I do!
    It's a nice place, I really like it. The only deterrent for me is it's on the Gulf. It's a warm climate, It's a beautiful looking place, I've got family and a couple of very close friends there, the cost of living is reasonable. I just need something that the Gulf can't give me as far as regular surfing goes.:p

    That does look pretty suite! I do check out the pics on Gulfster a lot, and I'm impressed with what I see when there's a big swell. :)
     
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  14. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Subtropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number 15
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
    400 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

    Satellite and NWS Doppler radar data indicate that the center of
    Alberto is making landfall along the coast of the Florida panhandle
    near Laguna Beach with maximum winds estimated at 40 kt.

    The overall organization of the system has changed little throughout
    the day as bands of convection have continued to develop primarily
    over the northern portion of the circulation.

    Data from the Air Force reconnaissance aircraft showed that the pressure continued to
    slowly rise and it was estimated to be 994 mb on the last fix just
    before 1700 UTC. Alberto should quickly weaken as the circulation
    moves inland this evening and the system should become a depression
    by late tonight or early Tuesday.

    Alberto has been moving northward or 355/8 kt. The track forecast
    reasoning has not changed from the previous advisory. The cyclone
    should move northward to north-northwestward around the western
    periphery of a mid-level ridge located over the western Atlantic
    over the next couple of days. The system is forecast to be absorbed
    by a frontal system over Canada in 3 to 4 days. The track guidance
    remains in good agreement on this scenario and only slight changes
    to the official forecast were required.