Atlantic Invest 97

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Mitchell, Aug 4, 2018.

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  1. Aug 4, 2018 #1
    Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    3,106
    Jan 5, 2009
    Pretty bizarre....potential tropical system developing in the North Atlantic at 39 N. - roughly the same latitude as New Jersey. Movement is back toward the SW.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Aug 4 2018

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Shower activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system
    centered about 950 miles west-southwest of the Azores remains
    limited. However, the low could gradually acquire subtropical or
    tropical characteristics while it moves southwestward over the next
    day or two, and then lifts back to the northeast and remains over
    warm water through Tuesday. Additional information on this low
    pressure area can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
    National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
     
    Mitchell, Aug 4, 2018
    Mitchell, Aug 4, 2018
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  3. Aug 4, 2018 #2
    DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    17,845
    Mar 6, 2012
    Suiiiiiite!
     
    DawnPatrol321, Aug 4, 2018
    DawnPatrol321, Aug 4, 2018
    eatswell and MrBigglesworth like this.

  5. Aug 5, 2018 #3
    eatswell

    eatswell Well-Known Member

    997
    Jul 14, 2009
    Hopefully it will just kind of stall out there, parallel with Jersey. And then sit out there for like a week or two. That happens every once in a while, so I'd love for that to happen now.
     
    eatswell, Aug 5, 2018
    eatswell, Aug 5, 2018
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  6. Aug 5, 2018 #4
    JayD

    JayD Well-Known Member

    3,021
    Feb 6, 2012
    Wondering if the high pressure is moving it SWard? ...to warmer waters is probably better for its survival. It’s August so anything is possible...
     
    JayD, Aug 5, 2018
    JayD, Aug 5, 2018
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  7. Aug 5, 2018 #5
    Mr.Belmar

    Mr.Belmar Well-Known Member

    3,824
    Aug 19, 2010
    ... should be good in Belmar for the next month with that thing out there! Till Labor Day!
     
    Mr.Belmar, Aug 5, 2018
    Mr.Belmar, Aug 5, 2018
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  8. Aug 5, 2018 #6
    eatswell

    eatswell Well-Known Member

    997
    Jul 14, 2009
    Hope so! That'd be amazing! Just sit off Monmouth County! Hell! Even off of LBI or points south.
     
    eatswell, Aug 5, 2018
    eatswell, Aug 5, 2018
  9. Aug 6, 2018 #7
    LBCrew

    LBCrew Well-Known Member

    6,024
    Aug 12, 2009
    That's waaaaaaay outside of our swell window.

    Our magic numbers are more like 35, -65
     
    LBCrew, Aug 6, 2018
    LBCrew, Aug 6, 2018
    cepriano likes this.
  10. Aug 6, 2018 #8
    headhigh

    headhigh Well-Known Member

    2,985
    Jul 17, 2009
    Strange indeed.

    The weather in NC for the past month has been exactly like rainy season in central america so not too terribly surprised.
     
    headhigh, Aug 6, 2018
    headhigh, Aug 6, 2018
  11. Aug 6, 2018 #9
    Sir_Ballyhoo

    Sir_Ballyhoo Well-Known Member

    609
    Mar 8, 2018
    Desperation causes people to see things that arent really there. This system is like a fart in the wind.
     
    Sir_Ballyhoo, Aug 6, 2018
    Sir_Ballyhoo, Aug 6, 2018
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  12. Aug 6, 2018 #10
    CJsurf

    CJsurf Well-Known Member

    1,552
    Apr 28, 2014
    The tropical models look really dismal for the foreseeable future. The pattern is all wrong for the east coast but is setting up perfectly for our friends in Southern California. Under the patterns in place over the next 10 days the tropical energy gets pushed south and west towards Central America where the waves can emerge in the Pacific and turn into storms.
     
    CJsurf, Aug 6, 2018
    CJsurf, Aug 6, 2018
    Cwhite likes this.
  13. Aug 6, 2018 #11
    Merx

    Merx Well-Known Member

    515
    Apr 4, 2018
    It's all La_Piedra's doing. He's been down there doing wave chants on the beach, and singing to dophins.
     
    Merx, Aug 6, 2018
    Merx, Aug 6, 2018
    La_Piedra likes this.
  14. Aug 6, 2018 #12
    MrBigglesworth

    MrBigglesworth Well-Known Member

    1,390
    Jun 29, 2018
    I knew it!
     
    MrBigglesworth, Aug 6, 2018
    MrBigglesworth, Aug 6, 2018
  15. Aug 6, 2018 #13
    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor

    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor Well-Known Member

    1,522
    Aug 22, 2012
    We could use tropical activity, even if its coming from a non tropical location. BTW Noaa report on activity this season once again a total failure. Not sure why they even keep doing it. I guess its to sell canned goods. Delmonte needs their cash.
     
    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor, Aug 6, 2018
    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor, Aug 6, 2018
    MrBigglesworth likes this.
  16. Aug 6, 2018 #14
    Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    3,106
    Jan 5, 2009
    Yep.
    [​IMG]
     
    Mitchell, Aug 6, 2018
    Mitchell, Aug 6, 2018
    Cwhite likes this.
  17. Aug 6, 2018 #15
    Cwhite

    Cwhite Well-Known Member

    588
    May 19, 2006
    Tropical West Coast GIF.gif
     
    Cwhite, Aug 6, 2018
    Cwhite, Aug 6, 2018
  18. Aug 6, 2018 #16
    Sir_Ballyhoo

    Sir_Ballyhoo Well-Known Member

    609
    Mar 8, 2018
    A very lazy season so far. I foresee NorEasters as the main swell producer this Fall. Should be fun!
     
    Sir_Ballyhoo, Aug 6, 2018
    Sir_Ballyhoo, Aug 6, 2018
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  19. Aug 6, 2018 #17
    La_Piedra

    La_Piedra Well-Known Member

    2,948
    Oct 9, 2017
     
    La_Piedra, Aug 6, 2018
    La_Piedra, Aug 6, 2018
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  20. Aug 7, 2018 #18
    Merx

    Merx Well-Known Member

    515
    Apr 4, 2018
    A girl has been delivered. Her name is Debby.

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/071455.shtml?
     
    Last edited: Aug 7, 2018
    Merx, Aug 7, 2018
    Merx, Aug 7, 2018
  21. Aug 7, 2018 #19
    MASurf

    MASurf Active Member

    26
    Aug 2, 2017
    Doesn't appear to be much swell potential though
     
    MASurf, Aug 7, 2018
    MASurf, Aug 7, 2018
  22. Aug 7, 2018 #20
    Merx

    Merx Well-Known Member

    515
    Apr 4, 2018
    Haven't checked, but I gambled on the long-shot for number of Atlantic basin named storms this season; so, I'll take it.
     
    Merx, Aug 7, 2018
    Merx, Aug 7, 2018
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