Hurricane Forecast 2019

I think it was 2014 or 2015 where we had a SE swell every week through the summer, some solid stuff too. I would take that again over periodic hurricane swell that is mostly close outs anyway

 

Once again, the Hurricane center is consulting their Ouija board to come up with these numbers. Unless of course, they are consulting with local shamans who use tossing chicken bones on to the ground.......

 

We didn't even have to cover the windows at all last season, so I'm guessing we'll have to do that this year.

 

Every year they say “it’s expected to be slightly above average “!!!!

 

That’s what I tell the ladies at the bar

 

Lucky bastard. I still have 2x4s up from florence.

 

What a load of donkey ****!!

 

Yeah, the 1st 3 years we lived here we had to cover the windows because we got hit just enough to need it. This last season we really did luck out, many came kinda close but none close enough that we felt it necessary. My guess is that will happen once every 4-5 years or so. Back to reality this year i'm sure.

 

We as surfers have a whole nother POV regarding Canes. The cliche it only takes one to hit you to make it a busy season still applies, but the ones that miss and go out to sea and stall in our respective wave windows is what makes or breaks a hurricane season in our minds. Unless we get wiped off the map, which can happen each year at random. Anywhere from LI, NY to OBX to FL to TX.

That's why its good to have a plan B. BTW, I'm headed to Casa de Cuda if the shit hits the fan down here.

 

I'll take a TS swell over a true 'cane swell any day. Locally, anyway... Too many variables to take into account with big, long period swells. Shorter period TS pulses don't close out as much, and tend to light up more spots than those big swells that only hold at certain spots.

 

+1, couldn't agree more.

 

The longer the period, the better, for my taste, years ago.
Nowadays, I need to wimp out and agree with you <grin>
Getting old.

 

They shouldn't put products like hurricane forecasts out when they cant forecast the weather 48 hours in advance. Its the weakest of all the sciences.

 

Always amazes me how they can predict a major storm two weeks out, but can't get the wind shift right 12 hours out.

 

I will take spring time lows popping off the coast for the time being....

 

And bermuda highs are nice wave generators.. usually fun waves, no property damage.

 

I’ll take anything but flat.

 

True Cdog.

 

I like how LBcrew states it- the long period swells just don’t work around here. There is about 5 close spots that will work within a 45+min drive... and it will be packed. And still won’t really be working well.

I will take the tropical storm shorter period swell any day...

And about the forecasting- is it me or does it seem to be worse then it was 10+ yrs when there was less technology?