Tropics: upcoming week

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Jun 27, 2017.

Page 1 of 2
  1. Jun 27, 2017 #1
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    This is the chatter about the upcoming week in the Tropics from flhurricane.com

    "There's wave coming off Africa that has a 20% chance for development over the next 5 days that the Hurricane Center is mentioning in hte outlook. Although it could develop, odds are it won't. and if it does, it wouldn't last across the Atlantic. We'll keep an eye on it though.

    GFS loses it by Friday (and never really develops it), Euro never really develops it, GFS Para never develops it, CMC does not develop it. The 12Z runs before this showed a bit more development, which is likely what the NHC outlook was based off of.

    Long range, next week seems slightly more likely for development of something else in the Eastern or Central Atlantic, but nothing very firm right now."

    And here is the 5 day graphical from NHC

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
     
    Betty, Jun 27, 2017
    Betty, Jun 27, 2017
  3. Jun 27, 2017 #2
    DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    17,845
    Mar 6, 2012
    We need group prayer to kick off the season, get a legit storm out there.
     
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 27, 2017
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 27, 2017

  5. Jun 27, 2017 #3
    yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    9,092
    Sep 26, 2008
    Paging wayne the insaaaaane & his windowless white van of ducte tape & doome prayer wagonn
     
    yankee, Jun 27, 2017
    yankee, Jun 27, 2017
  6. Jun 27, 2017 #4
    DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    17,845
    Mar 6, 2012
    We pray to the Wave Gods around these here parts! :cool:
     
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 27, 2017
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 27, 2017
  7. Jun 27, 2017 #5
    Zeroevol

    Zeroevol Well-Known Member

    7,419
    Jun 22, 2009
    Choooooo chooooo
     
    Zeroevol, Jun 27, 2017
    Zeroevol, Jun 27, 2017
  8. Jun 27, 2017 #6
    sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    5,399
    Jun 17, 2013
    sisurfdogg, Jun 27, 2017
    sisurfdogg, Jun 27, 2017
  9. Jun 28, 2017 #7
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    Flhurricane.com:

    "
    The National Hurricane Center has dropped the wave chances off the Outlook, leaving the quiet week. The GFS shows something maybe in the Central Atlantic mid to late next week. but there are no other models supporting that yet.

    So likely next week may be quiet as well, but not sure on that yet. "
     
    Betty, Jun 28, 2017
    Betty, Jun 28, 2017
  10. Jun 28, 2017 #8
    DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    17,845
    Mar 6, 2012
    Booooo
     
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 28, 2017
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 28, 2017
  11. Jun 29, 2017 #9
    yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    9,092
    Sep 26, 2008
    From Surfline extended fucast today:

    "Also, some of the recent computer model runs suggests a tropical wave moving off West Africa will need to be monitored as it tracks westward through the tropical Atlantic over the next week to ten days. We wouldn't see any potential for swell from that until well into the second week of July so we have plenty of time to watch the system over the coming days."
     
    yankee, Jun 29, 2017
    yankee, Jun 29, 2017
  12. Jun 29, 2017 #10
    Wavestrom

    Wavestrom Well-Known Member

    477
    Jul 5, 2014
    Yeah, I agree we should sacrifice Barry to the tropical storm gods to kick off the season.
     
    Wavestrom, Jun 29, 2017
    Wavestrom, Jun 29, 2017
  13. Jun 29, 2017 #11
    fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    5,513
    Dec 6, 2010
    July 13, waaaaaaaay out there, but it gives us hope, and this is just the GFS that hasn't been to reliable.

    [​IMG]
     
    fl.surfdog, Jun 29, 2017
    fl.surfdog, Jun 29, 2017
  14. Jun 29, 2017 #12
    DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    17,845
    Mar 6, 2012
    "Come to Butthead"
     
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 29, 2017
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 29, 2017
  15. Jun 29, 2017 #13
    fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    5,513
    Dec 6, 2010
    hahaha
     
    fl.surfdog, Jun 29, 2017
    fl.surfdog, Jun 29, 2017
  16. Jun 29, 2017 #14
    yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    9,092
    Sep 26, 2008
    lolz! good one DP :cool:
     
    yankee, Jun 29, 2017
    yankee, Jun 29, 2017
  17. Jun 29, 2017 #15
    DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    17,845
    Mar 6, 2012
    Lmao
     
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 29, 2017
    DawnPatrol321, Jun 29, 2017
  18. Jul 31, 2019 #16
    Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    3,106
    Jan 5, 2009
    Three GFS model runs in a row showing a system tracking up the coast about a week from now.

    gfs_mslp_wind_eus_fh192-282.gif
     
    Mitchell, Jul 31, 2019
    Mitchell, Jul 31, 2019
  19. Jul 31, 2019 #17
    StuckontheGulf

    StuckontheGulf Well-Known Member

    524
    Apr 23, 2012
    Wow, I hope that happens. Now if I could just get a forecast.
     
    StuckontheGulf, Jul 31, 2019
    StuckontheGulf, Jul 31, 2019
  20. Jul 31, 2019 #18
    Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    3,106
    Jan 5, 2009
    NHC giving that system a 50% chance of becoming a TD in next five days.

    A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over
    the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. No significant development of
    this system is expected for the next few days while it moves
    westward at about 15 mph. Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast
    to gradually become more conducive, and a tropical depression could
    form by early next week several hundred miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
     
    Mitchell, Jul 31, 2019
    Mitchell, Jul 31, 2019
    Wavestrom and antoine like this.
  21. Jul 31, 2019 #19
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    Betty, Jul 31, 2019
    Betty, Jul 31, 2019
  22. Jul 31, 2019 #20
    JayD

    JayD Well-Known Member

    3,021
    Feb 6, 2012
    Well you got my attention. I will be in Cabo all next week. In the above text it says “Cabo verde islands” lol!

    I am the sacrificial lamb leaving the EC...it should be good for you Boyz (and Lady)!!!
     
    JayD, Jul 31, 2019
    JayD, Jul 31, 2019
    antoine likes this.
Page 1 of 2