Saturday thru Monday!

Discussion in 'Mid Atlantic' started by stoneybaloney, Apr 28, 2010.

  1. stoneybaloney

    stoneybaloney Well-Known Member

    May 11, 2009
    For anybody who is taking off work and/or hinging their lives on the weekend's forecast, remember it can easily change. I'm preempting all the haters on here and reminding them that we're dealing with nature. There is an entire cable channel dedicating to forecasting the weather and they don't even get that right half the time. So until about Friday afternoon, my advice is to pretty much ignore the forecast and keep your fingers crossed. That is of course if I didn't jinx it all by mentioning it in an internet forum thread. :D:rolleyes::D
     
  2. Feesh

    Feesh Well-Known Member

    197
    Jun 5, 2008
    Definitely keeping my fingers crossed, cause Surfline is only saying 1 - 2, however this sites predictions are usually better... still early.
     

  3. Mikey

    Mikey Well-Known Member

    244
    Oct 3, 2008
    Does the jinx work in reverse if everybody just figures on it being flat? Everybody: plan on spending the weekend at the in-laws and schedule a whole lot of meetings for monday.
     
  4. sweeet26

    sweeet26 Well-Known Member

    51
    Dec 4, 2008
    not getting stoked

    Im not getting too stoked either. Magic Seaweed is also saying only knee high for sunday so its 2 against one Surfline and Magicseaweed vs. swell info. Who do you think will be right?
     
  5. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    in all likely hood...all three will be right...it will be knee high in some places and wiast-stomach in others. It looks like another steeply angled s/ssw wind swell. just like a couple of weeks ago when everyone seemed shocked/pissed at the internet gods that certain spots were knee high and others waist-chest when it has always been that way in these setups. These glancing s/sw swells will hit better at spots that are exposed to the south but maybe with a bit of wind protection and bottom contours/structures to focus a bit of swell into a peak ...use your imagination.
     
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2010
  6. epidemicepic

    epidemicepic Well-Known Member

    502
    Feb 21, 2008
    i sortof like the way surfline does things... They only provide a "detailed" forecast for the short-term. Then they have a paragraph explaining the possibilities for the longer range forecast, giving a "discussion" of possible approaching systems, and what their impact COULD be.

    For me, this not only gives me an idea of what could happen, but also what could go wrong, and thus a realistic idea of the future. Is there any way swellinfo can add this type of "discussion" paragraph, explaining WHY were calling for waves in the distant future? And also possible problems and hurdles this system/low/storm/hurricane/Nor'Easter will have to overcome before giving us waves?
     
  7. gromsurfer123

    gromsurfer123 Well-Known Member

    100
    Sep 18, 2008
    magic seaweed sucks. they never get the forecast right
    thats why we use this site : )
     
  8. chillisurfer

    chillisurfer Well-Known Member

    167
    Sep 22, 2008
    It says it's a South swell at 7-8 seconds, so it'll be windswell. If by anychance the swell direction moves west a few degrees, wouldn't that actually make this a hit or miss swell?

    Edit: Mitchell already answered my question.
     
  9. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    its a SW wind swell scenario - so definitely too far down the line to have any certainty at this point. As the weather model guidance changes, so does the surf forecast.

    For Central New Jersey, often the beginning stages of the SW wind swell is often over estimated, when the periods are very short - 4-7 seconds. As the swell peaks the longer period S wind swell makes it into more areas in the Central NJ area.
     
  10. Northender

    Northender Guest

    Mr Swellinfo, can you please give me some good news for this weekend in virginia beach, I have a contest on saturday and sunday and im dieing to compete, but it will probally be cancelled if the surf is flat
     
  11. LOSTsoul

    LOSTsoul Well-Known Member

    543
    Apr 29, 2009
    SW winds?....i wouldn't get too crazy about this swell event....sounds like a repeat of 2-3 weeks ago when everyone on this site collectively lost their sh!t...:D
     
  12. staystoked

    staystoked Well-Known Member

    628
    Dec 27, 2009
    aaaaaaahhhhhh!!!

    F !! these optimistic forecasts, i am heart broken to see sun and mon go from chest clean to **** and barley clean



    douche nozzles!!
     
  13. mOtion732

    mOtion732 Well-Known Member

    Sep 18, 2008
    I need some f***king surf.
     
  14. chillisurfer

    chillisurfer Well-Known Member

    167
    Sep 22, 2008
    Were you not able to surf on Monday or Tuesday?
     
  15. BonerSurfs

    BonerSurfs Well-Known Member

    504
    Apr 14, 2007
    Just throwing in my 2 cents. April and early may are always flat on the east coast. Its has been for as long as I can remember. This time of year is always the worst flat spell of the year. Mid to late may there is usually some kinda swell, almost gods little gift before the flatness of summer. Like june, ughhhhh, you pray for thigh high shorebreak :(
     
  16. GnarActually

    GnarActually Well-Known Member

    931
    Sep 30, 2007
  17. Salty

    Salty Well-Known Member

    159
    Jul 10, 2008
    ....over time, i think that swellinfo seems to provide the most accurate info (for most locations), - i thought that was due to that fact that magic seaweed's data was coming from buoys placed in open water in deeper locations. am i correct?
     
  18. Zop

    Zop Well-Known Member

    67
    Aug 2, 2009
    ill believe it when i see it
     
  19. slopman

    slopman Well-Known Member

    120
    May 7, 2007
    We get tons of SW wind swell down here in the Southeatern NC and I have learned not to get too hyped up about them. There is only one spot that works because of a breakwall that blocks the drift and some wind coming from that direction. Most of the other spots are side shore drifty peaks that are mushy rights and walled up sectiony lefts. We cant fcuking buy NW winds down here and if we could I would be one broke as s nugga! :D
     
  20. fupafest

    fupafest Well-Known Member

    207
    Feb 16, 2010
    April being flat is just not true. For the past 3 years, we have had a huge Northeaster which produced the best swell of the year. WE are overdue for a storm and it will happen sooner than later, I have faith I'll surf again.