i haven't really looked into this too deeply, but the meteorological cause and effect is pretty straight forward. Tropical storms develop through convection, where the initiation of the cyclone is driven by warm moist air over the tropical ocean rising The atmosphere above the sea surface has to be conducive for the convective process and cyclone development. And a dry, dusty air mass is NOT conducive for cyclonic development.
It seems to me that if the Sahara is spreading at 48 kilometers a year, that would have some effect on hurricane development. I'd be interested to see if someone has studied this in any kind of detail to try and figure out to what extent that impact would be
where did the weakening/shear come from when it was forecast/projected path to strengthen,and will it still send swell?
I was just checking the latest (noon) models and even tho the storm has been downgraded, the swell forecast hasnt really hasnt changed much for the weekend from yesterday (not like it was big to begin with) and the swell seems to want to hang on into Monday/tuesday. There a lot of SE wind fetch aimed at the east coast whether its part of something named or not.
here come the kooks i wonder how many droves of kooks will be populating the water tomorrow since everyone is hyping up the swell....makes me sad that everyone who has the money to buy a surfboard chooses to come ruin the fun
Exactly. Every summer these swells get hyped. Don't get me wrong it's great to surf big swells in trunks, but these swells can't hold a candle to powerful winter barrels.
