Are we in for it?

Nhc

I read that the NHC is doing a conference call and may move the track further south, just a rumor but they could do it.

 

Hurricane Earl

Looks like Earl may be a hurricane, you can see an eye on satellite already.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc10/ATL/07L.EARL/ir/geo/1km/LATEST.jpg

 

wrong thread lol
edit:

that is pretty legit. i think we'll see earl updated to cat 1 by tomorrow

 

Hurricane Watches

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

sorry for caps, thats from NWS text

 

all i know is

Mex surfer, all i know is I would not want to be in town when /all the tourist get freaked out and leave early. Also if this thing goes cat 2 or 3 by thrusday and goes on its current path i believe you will see sick surf in town, no need to go over the bridge south. Surflines forecast is alcalling it 12 foot double overhead for Friday for spots that can hold that much swell. I have been out in somehting similar about 5 yeras ago, it was about 4 foot overhead steep powerful pits in Salvo and its the closest i have ever been to drowning. If it does what the forecast shows your going ot have alot of fun come weds and sunday but in between who knows what spots will be abvle hold the swelll and with the NE winds that will be on the west side of that storm it may get washed out.

 

"Upper level winds are forecast to remain pretty much conducive, and this area should slowly become better organized. Based on the wind shear forecast map, starting with runs from yesterday, a series of upper level anticyclones is forecast to develop, in series, off the African coast, at around the same latitude that tropical waves should exit into the Atlantic. In other words, upper level winds look conducive enough during the next 10-14 days, that we could see a flurry of activity. Though the forecast period is 10-14 days, I am not willing to rule out this scenario right now."

 

I live on the bay in LBI... Should I be worried?

 

You shouldn't be worried. The only places I'm worried about is Hatteras, Nantucket/Cape Cod, and eastern Maine.

 

eh arent we always worried about Hatteras?

 

Thing is though, if the Hatteras area suffers a direct hit from a category 4 hurricane, the whole place is going to change. The last time a hurricane that hard hit, whole towns were wiped out and new inlets were formed when the island was washed out in places.

If a storm like that hits now, in 2010, **** is going to get ****ed up. Bad.

 

ya, earl hitting Hatteras would not be good for anyone

 

24 ft @ 16 seconds with 50+ mph winds... not looking too good

 

NC is used to it and people there should probably heed warnings, which Im sure most people don't play games with hurricane threats. Im worried about Delmarvans not being prepared or careless about the real threat of a Cat 1-3 hitting this coast.

 

Maybe some of them, but I don't think you realize the impact of a direct hit. There hasn't been a direct hit in almost 20 years. Look up the 1991 storm, and the 1962 storm. They decimated the place. If a storm like the 1962 storm hit now, which was actually a nor'easter, I couldn't even begin to imagine the property damage. Thing is, it's imminent. It's just never happened with the place as populated as it is.

 

Oh man! Anyone know what the storm surge will be?

 

i was just watching the weather channel and they were saying that earl is supposed to nail us (VB and upper carolina) on friday

 

Looks like lat wed into the first half of thursday looks epic in vah beach

 

A direct hit from a category 4 anywhere along the east coast, especially the outer banks will be catastrophic, even though NC is the best prepared (evacuation plans etc.) We should be less worried about what kind of swell we are getting, and more worried about where this thing is gonna hit.