According to one long range forecaster who is more often right than wrong, we might not have much of a Cape Verde tropical season this year given a developing El Nino in the Pacific. El Ninos result in W/SW'ly shearing winds in the tropical Atlantic, either destroying ciruclations before they can get fired up or turning the storms poleward as they reach 50 degrees west longitude. We may be in for the more home-grown variety, spinning up in the Gulf or near-Atlantic.