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  1. #11
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../182056.shtml?

    Looks like it will become a tropical storm. In the Atlantic basin. In June.

  2. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Betty View Post
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../182056.shtml?

    Looks like it will become a tropical storm. In the Atlantic basin. In June.
    Thats not so unusual, Betty. Early yes, unusual no...

  3. #13
    Bettye is our Weather Magic Maestro, Barry, so just let it flow

  4. #14
    Wrong treade
    Last edited by Betty; Jun 20, 2017 at 11:13 AM.

  5. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by yankee View Post
    Bettye is our Weather Magic Maestro, Barry, so just let it flow
    Duh, no kidding.

  6. #16
    Bret continues to have a fairly well-organized appearance on
    satellite imagery, but the presentation on radar from Trinidad and
    Venezuela is not so impressive, with a lack of well-defined banding
    features.

    The structure of the cyclone continues to be
    characterized by a northward tilt of the vortex with height, so
    the center is estimated to be located near the southern side of the
    CDO. The initial intensity is held at 35 kt for this advisory,
    which is the mean of Dvorak T-numbers from SAB and TAFB. The
    intensity forecast reasoning remains about the same as before.

    No
    significant short-term strengthening seems likely while the
    circulation interacts with Venezuela today. In 24 hours or so, a
    weakening trend should commence due to strong south-southwesterly
    shear associated with an upper-level trough over the Caribbean Sea.


    The global models continue to be in good agreement that the system
    will dissipate over the west-central Caribbean in 2-3 days. The
    official intensity forecast is near or slightly above the intensity
    model consensus, IVCN.

    The forward motion has slowed just a bit from yesterday and is now
    around 290/18 kt. There continues to be little change to the track
    forecast philosophy.

    The flow on the southern side of a
    well-defined mid-level subtropical ridge should steer the cyclone on
    a west-northwestward to westward track for the next couple of days.

    The official track forecast lies between the latest ECMWF and GFS
    solutions and is close to the model consensus.

  7. #17
    Bottom line: good warm up drill for SI buoys, but it's not gonna bring the goods for Barry

  8. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by Betty View Post
    Bottom line: good warm up drill for SI buoys, but it's not gonna bring the goods for Barry
    So glad you are concerned for my welfare. I love you too.
    But hey, who knows--I have seen 'canes turn and twist and make it up here under the weirdest of conditions.
    Have a good day!!
    Last edited by Barry Cuda; Jun 20, 2017 at 07:20 PM.

  9. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by Ronnie Mund View Post
    Dew.
    Dew.