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  1. #1

    Tropical wave coming off Africa

    Disturbance 1: 10% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 am EDT Sat Sep 9 2017 ...

    A tropical wave located several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo
    Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next
    few days while it moves west-northwestward over the eastern Atlantic
    Ocean.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    Aw geeeez...

  2. #2
    Thanks Betty! Continue to be vigilant...

  3. #3
    Will do, as long as power. I wonder if Atlanta will lose power? Ironic.

    This seasons ridiculous with constant systems.

  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Betty View Post
    This seasons ridiculous with constant systems.
    fwiw, from an article written in July...

    An expected delay in the onset of El Niño may increase the number of tropical storms and hurricanes to form in the Atlantic during 2017. El Niño is part of a routine fluctuation in sea surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific. When these waters enter a warm phase of a few degrees Fahrenheit or greater compared to average for several consecutive months, the pattern is designated as El Niño. When El Niño occurs, it typically creates strong winds from the west at mid-levels of the atmosphere. These winds tend to prevent formation, limit strengthening and can lead to an early demise of tropical storms....

    ..A lack of El Niño conditions well into the fall may also allow tropical storms to form right up to the end of hurricane season, which is Nov. 30. "In late June, we increased our forecast numbers in all categories, compared to earlier this spring," according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski. From 11 to 15 tropical storms are predicted, along with six to nine hurricanes and three to four major hurricanes..

  5. #5
    1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
    located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands has
    become somewhat better organized today. Environmental conditions
    are expected to support at least some additional development, and a
    tropical depression could form in a few days while the system moves
    generally northwestward over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

  6. #6
    As of 2:00 am EDT Sun Sep 10 2017 ...
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave
    located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands
    continue to show some signs of organization. Environmental
    conditions are expected to be conducive for some development, and a
    tropical depression could form during the next few days while the
    system moves generally northwestward over the eastern Atlantic
    Ocean.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.