Wow, your grasp of U.S. election history is as poor as your grasp of survey methodology. Shocking... You guys do realize that there are independent people who are paid to predict this right? What about the betting line in Vegas? If you believe in economic incentives, as I'm sure you laissez-faire capitalists do, then you should have more faith in the Vegas bookmakers than the media. But the Vegas bookmakers give Hillary a 78% chance of winning... Are they lying too?