Atlantic storms discussion

There's unusually cold water and cold air off Africa right now. There's nothing developing there at all really.
But the western Atlantic and Gulf are boiling.
Look to the SE coast development or storms in the Gulf that cut across FLA, the kind that flair up off Georgia/SC and ride the coast for any hope of hurricane swells this fall, which, when they are that close to shore, are really just strong windswells.

 

As I mentioned in previous threads--the hurricane season has been cancelled due to a lack of interest.
No storms for you!!
Now go away!!!

 

Somebody forgot to put a token in the machine, sorry

 

The root cause? Who knows, but predictive correlation shows that when the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is in phase 6 or 7, Atlantic basin hurricane formation is vastly reduced. Should the MJO move to phase 1 or 2, then things will cook.

The MJO phase, while not a root cause, is indicative of certain global circulatory pattern tendencies. With the MJO in phase 6 or 7, the predominant circulation brings dry air and dust from the Sahara into the mid levels of the Cape Verde area and suppresses development. Given the right conditions, this ribbon of air can travel a long distance, practically across the entire Atlantic and suppressing storms normally generated by the ITCZ.

For model ensemble predictions of the MJO, visit http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml. We're currently in phase 6 as shown by most ensemble suites, slated to last at least through Aug 23.

 

In other words, the ocean hates you, go kill yourself

 

well for starters its summer time.in order for there to be waves,u need a storm.we are in the "dry" season lol.hurricanes are hit and misses,nothing like a good ol noreaster.been a while since I actually surfed "good" waves..i just been swimming everyday,nothing better for training than swimming,not that I'm training lol I just like swimmin

 

Sounds like this new feller, codfish, knows everything.

I'd start there

 

Thanks Obama

 

Who cares, when's winter?

 

News today said a lot of sand blowing off Africa is keeping down storm formation.
The Year of Andrew didn't see its first hurricane until beginning or mid August. Already we have seen five tropical storms. Give it time.

 

2 words.
you ready?



...and aliens.

 

^^ Wrong. It's only warm because it's summer. It got cold last winter. And it snowed. Science disproved.

 

note to self....summer is warmme....winter...Coolldd... got it.

great then by method of elimination - it's aliens.

#thanksAliens!

 

The ocean said #eatmyfuk.

One feller said, the water's cold...
[video=youtube;GUfMgc-b9zw]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GUfMgc-b9zw[/video]

 

Still very early, uncommon to see a cape Verde storm in early mid august.

 

Thank you NOAA! After a slow summer a little bit of hope for fall.

 

Update Graphic

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/figure1.gif

 

Pie charts. Mmmm

 

so given a choice between charging the storm surge or securing your casa what do you do ? you only get one choice!