Keep an eye on this area of convection off the southeast coast. Thunderstorm activity associated with this non tropical low has been increasing this morning, and it looks like this is going to have either tropical development or non-tropical development over the next couple of days. This is showing potential for decent surf for the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. Here's the latest radar image:
This morning's imagery is definitely looking better. Seems the models are kinda erratic at best with its path right now but a few are swell produce-able (is that a word) paths. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-wv.html
.marine... No Advisories As Winds And Seas Under Criteria This Morning/afternoon. Cold Front Will Be Passing Through The Area Waters...shifting Winds To The Northwest. A Secondary Front Will Then Move Through Early This Evening...and Winds Will Shift Into The Northeast As High Pressure Builds In From The North. Winds And Seas Will Remain Below Sca Criteria Through At Least The Mid Week Period As The Center Of This High Moves Off The New England Coast. On A Side Note...the System Of Interest Off The Southeast Coast Could Begin To Bring Swells Into The Local Waters Late In The Forecast Period.
over the last 24 hours, both the GFS and GFDL have been showing significant development and thus swell production for the mid atlantic through new york regions. This Mid Atlantic could start to feel something on Friday, while further to the north will have to wait until Saturday. Definitely looks interesting. I"ll be updating the NYBB Pro Event Forecast for Long Beach, NY on this page: http://www.swellinfo.com/usba_event.html
Keeping fingers, eyes and toes crossed... I'm hoping we get some decent swell - but without driving rain, howling onshores or crosshores. I'm hoping the Surf Gods bless us with some good conditions here and there.
It is not looking good....she definitely has morning sickness..for like the last 12 hours. But most models still agree that something is coming back at us...
