Disturbance 2: 10% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours As of 2:00 pm EDT Wed Aug 9 2017 ... Disorganized shower activity over the Bahamas is associated with a trough of low pressure. Although development appears unlikely, this system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of the Bahamas and Florida during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Flhurricane.com: " A mid to upper level spin that is tracking wnw well ahead of Invest 99L has been increasingly working its way to the surface along an associated trof, and is in a somewhat favored region for genesis. This feature has been boasting more convection today, and in fact, now appears slightly more subtropical than not in the most recent visible satellite images as of this entry (Aug 9 10:30 AM EDT). This spin does not yet have an Invest number, but may possibly get tagged with one later today. This disturbance looks to enhance rain across south Florida, and was recently responsible for flooding in the Virgin Islands. However, northerly shear and nearby dry air are not conducive for significant development."
Disturbance 2: 10% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours As of 8:00 am EDT Thu Aug 10 2017 ... A trough of low pressure over the Bahamas is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although development is not anticipated, this system could bring locally heavy rains to portions of the Bahamas and Florida during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
