http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 As of 8:00 am EDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ... An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a dissipating frontal boundary over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or so, and then move eastward across the Florida peninsula into the western Atlantic by midweek. Any development should be slow to occur due to only marginally conducive upper-level winds and proximity to land. However, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of central and northeastern Florida during the next couple of days. Please see additional information from your local National Weather Service Forecast Offices concerning the rainfall threat. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2 pm update As of 2:00 pm EDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ... A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system has developed over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for this system to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics tonight and Monday before it moves inland over the central Florida peninsula on Tuesday, and into the western Atlantic by Wednesday. Regardless of development, the low is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of central and northeastern Florida during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
This is the skeetobite map of the path of 98L through Florida and into the Atlantic http://flhurricane.com/modelanimator.php?storm=6&year=2017&title=98 Also, flhurricane.com just commented today, " A few buoy reports of 40MPH winds west of Tampa, the low seems to be drifting southeast currently, probably would drift into the W. Central Florida coast. Watch this one closely, these frontal lows are prime for surprises. "
