El nino and the Eastcoast

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by staystoked, Nov 5, 2015.

  1. staystoked

    staystoked Well-Known Member

    Dec 27, 2009
    As a non meteorologists, how is this mega nino going to affect the east?

    i am asking because i'm constantly hearing flip flopping answers.

    Awesome surf, bad surf
    freezing winter, warm winter
    no rain, heavy rain

    can anyone shed light on what to expect.

    i tried to googly it, but all articles focused on the west coast
    Last edited: Nov 5, 2015
  2. metard

    metard Well-Known Member

    Mar 11, 2014
    curious to hear as well

  3. seldom seen

    seldom seen Well-Known Member

    Aug 21, 2012
    As a layman...and regarding the northeast...and prease, correct me if I'm wrong Mitchell...but up here they're saying warmer than average temperatures coupled with above average precipitation...but they also say that if said precip occurs during a cold snappe, we could get a fock ton o' snow.

    I don't know if those systems are usual nor' easters.

    I hope there's some waves with warmer than usual air temps, got pretty frigid up here the past cpl years...

    I hope to one day be like Mitchell and be able to make sense of various types of weather maps.
  4. JayD

    JayD Well-Known Member

    Feb 6, 2012
    Two things that will keep the El Nino a mystery for the East Coast...especially the NE: North Atlantic Oscillation and the Artic Oscillation. Both can create major events as the El Nino pattern unfolds (lower Jetstream out west sucking up southern moisture as systems march east along with the two things above make for an interesting outcome)

    It seems like NE and SE will get different patterns (based on NOAA). Dryer and warmer NE with Wetter and cooler SE.

    There is a lot that is unknown about the predictions (admits NOAA) but if you look at the big ones from early 80s and later 90s...there were some historic storms. Check out this link...tons of info...hit on the embedded links for more.

  5. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013

    Exactly. It's those oscillations that determine if the lowpressure systems kick well offshore and give us waves with nice ground swell, or hug the coast and give us nada but windchoppe. I can't figure them out, and the local surfing weatherman can't predict them, he can only report their trends. So far they look good for us, but who knows. The overhead swell due on Monday has just been downgraded to chest high.
  6. 1vin

    1vin Well-Known Member

    Aug 24, 2009
    Wetter and warmer flatness, so they say.


    Sep 17, 2013
    I think it means a dip in the jetstream sending the lows off NC creating Nor'easter fronts for the midatlantic and NE as opposed to the Lows going off new England creating south swells

    also, more high intensity fronts

    I think
  8. brewengineer

    brewengineer Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2011
    NOAA Moisture Prediction
  9. staystoked

    staystoked Well-Known Member

    Dec 27, 2009
    bumping for more info
  10. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    "Going" to affect??!!?? Going!!??!!
    It already has and is. How many 'canes did you get?? Was it a flat season compared to others??
    You are a moron.
  11. cepriano

    cepriano Well-Known Member

    Apr 20, 2012
    burn lots of Styrofoam and use aerosol cans....the faster we fuk this planet up,the stronger storms we will have,which equals to epic surf.fuk green,paint it black!!
  12. staystoked

    staystoked Well-Known Member

    Dec 27, 2009
    Easy there...

    weather channel say Joaquin was the strongest hurricane in the Atlantic since Igor in 2010.
  13. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    hogwash. you only had one. season is over.
    weather channel is weather for idiots. go elsewhere.
  14. BassMon2

    BassMon2 Well-Known Member

    Jan 27, 2015
    ^^^^ TS Ana and Claudette sent us waves early in the season. Sure, not hurricane. Nothing insane. But there were storms. Joaquin starts with the letter J. That's a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, I, J. That's ten storms. Not one. Sure most didn't send us squat, but my point is we had more than one. Your not going to get a great track every storm every season. It's weather
  15. yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    Sep 26, 2008
    "Idiots"...? They don't even merit the Cuda moron rating...?!?
  16. trevolution

    trevolution Well-Known Member

    Feb 16, 2012
    Were all going down! Holy **** batten down the hatches. Its megagedon wave time. 30 foot waves, long island sound will turn into waimea!
  17. fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    Dec 6, 2010
  18. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    The Weather Channel is for kooks
  19. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    That's the surfing weather dude I've been posting aboot. He sums it up pretty good.

    The only beef I have with him is when it gets hard to predict, he goes absent and surfs until everyone else figures it out. If I had his access to wave models, I'd do the same thing. I've surfed with him once on a decent swell at a private break, he is pretty humble out in the water. (He's from the Jerz so he better be chill down here in da dirty souff!)
    Last edited: Nov 5, 2015
  20. brewengineer

    brewengineer Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2011
    Barry's point (sometimes it gets lost in the way he communicates) is that it was a quiet tropical storm season this year, partly because of El Nino. He is right about that.