El Nino Info: What's your prediction?

Discussion in 'Mid Atlantic' started by DaMook, Jan 1, 2010.

  1. DaMook

    DaMook Well-Known Member

    868
    Dec 30, 2009
    Just a snippet, get the rest here:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

    El Niño strengthened from October to November 2009, as sea surface temperature (SST)
    anomalies increased across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean (Figs. 1 and 2). The Niño-3.4
    index value remained steady during November with the most recent weekly value at +1.7°C (Fig. 2).
    Consistent with this warmth, upper-ocean heat content anomalies remained positive (Fig. 3) and
    subsurface temperature anomalies shifted eastward across the eastern Pacific, with the largest departures
    exceeding +4°C by the end of the month (Fig. 4). Also, the low-level and upper-level wind anomalies
    over the equatorial Pacific were highly variable during the month due to the Madden-Julian Oscillation
    (MJO). The MJO also contributed to anomalous convection over Indonesia and the west-central
    equatorial Pacific (110°E to 180°; Fig. 5). Collectively, these oceanic and atmospheric anomalies reflect
    a moderate strength El Niño.


    All I want to know if this is going to give us waves or take them away.
     
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2010