Finally, new storm off of Afrika!!

Help...

 

If I'm remembering correctly, bertha was deffinitly fun on LI. I don't remember it being epic though or even all that big. I believe we got a bunch of fun but not epic swells that season. Not being a downer either. Id take a fun but not epic swell any day of the week. Even if this only sends us chest high waves, I'll be stoked.

All summer its been waist high at best with the exception of a day or two. Still something to surf so I'm grateful for that. But I'm longing for a fun swell

 

"97L's chances for development seem low, and it probably will not develop.

96L's chances are higher for development, but it will likely fall apart before getting near the Eastern Caribbean.

96L has a similar setup to Tropical Storm Dorian in 2013. Dorian's track plots.
Dorian was a late July Cape Verde storm that fell apart before reaching the islands, then reformed briefly as a Tropical Depression off the coast of Florida, but never made landfall and became post tropical."

 

Good point. Many storms coming across fall apart then reemerge as it hits the Gulf Stream and/or warmer water.

BTW, Betty, I must thank you for the rack tip. I am finishing up this weekend. I bought the two strips and the hangers. I also went to $ store and got the noodle for the rack. I ripped 4 pieces of left over solid bamboo flooring and extended two of the levels for longer boards (duct tape the wood to the hangers then put the foamy over it. Also, as a side note, I put over a door way....good width for studs and good height from top of door to ceilings. Anyway, thanks for the tip.

 

Sounds like a great set up Jay! Glad i could pass on the idea to you.

 

Latest from flhurricane.com

"
97L on the 12Z model runs stays weak most of the time, but starts to gain strength in the far western Caribbean. GFS moves it into the Bay of Campeche a week from tomorrow, and the Euro takes it offshore of Texas a week from tomorrow (as a tropical storm).

96L gains a bit of strength on the GFS but falls apart by Monday. Euro does similar, and brings rain to the NE Caribbean a week from today from it. "

 

Its just a beginning of a la nina, give it time, it will be a busy season....says the wizard of weather....no really, the African coast will be spitting out systems soon enough and the wind will be favorable, I just hope we don't get clocked with a big one.

 

Thanks so much Betty! Despite Barry's slackness dis treads still rollin'
A good omen fer sure!

 

It's a grower, not a shower

 

As of 8:00 pm EDT Sat Jul 30 2016 ...
A tropical wave is rapidly moving westward toward the Lesser
Antilles. Although satellite images show a large and well-
organized area of thunderstorms associated with the wave, there are
no signs of a surface circulation, and pressures are not falling
significantly at this time. This system has the potential for some
slow development during the next day or two, but the best chance for
tropical cyclone formation is likely to be by the middle of next
week, when the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system
is expected to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions
of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico tonight and
Sunday, and then the activity should spread westward across
Hispaniola. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent"

 

And from flhurricane.com. This is to fuel Barry's stoke:

"When a tropical wave defies difficult odds - and is still tracking at a relatively low latitude upon approach to the islands - this is often the hallmark of a wave that bears watching. Such is the case with Invest 97L. Despite what would normally be an almost insurmountable double whammy of dry air and rapid forward movement, this disturbance has both improved internals further overnight Friday, and added some more meat on its bones .....

Meanwhile, out the far eastern Atlantic, Invest 96L is also looking better. Traveling quite a bit slower, we will have plenty of time to watch this one, but in the near-term those in the Caribbean may now want to pay closer attention for the possibility of further development with 97L

 

Dude, it's almost August. Can't believe there was nothing, absolutely nothing while I was back east. For the sake of you cats, hope this trop wave does build up though.

 

Hell yh tropical incests

 

As of 2:00 am EDT Sun Jul 31 2016 ...
A fast-moving tropical wave is nearing the Lesser Antilles. Although
showers and thunderstorms are fairly well-organized, there are
currently no signs a closed surface circulation. However, this
system has the potential for some slow development during the next
couple of days, but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation
is likely to be by the early to middle part of next week when the
wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser
Antilles, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico today. Shower and
thunderstorm activity should spread westward across the eastern
Caribbean Sea and Hispaniola by tonight and on Monday. Interests in
these areas should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent


Isn't our illustrious Yankee down there in Caribbean right now?

 

Be patient, Grasshopper.

 

Flhurricane.com:
"
Record high Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential, or TCHP, shown here measured in kilojoules per square centimeter, is now directly ahead for the strong Invest 97L to tap into. All else being equal, there could be a window for some very impressive Rapid Intensification of 97L from about 72.5* W all the way to the westernmost edge of the Caribbean - with still more anomalously"

And Natl Hurricane Center boys predict this will be come a tropical system this week. Looks like Florida is in the clear, and it won't be the trajectory Barry was hoping for. Not this one.

 

And just like that, it's gone.

 

This is a warm up drill for the east coast.

As of 8:00 am EDT Mon Aug 1 2016 ...
Thunderstorm activity associated with a strong tropical wave
located over the central Caribbean Sea about 350 miles
east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, continues to show signs
of organization. Earlier satellite wind data indicate that the
system is producing winds of 40 to 45 mph, and recent satellite
and ship observations suggest that a circulation is gradually
becoming better defined. If this development trend continues, a
tropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight as the
system moves westward over the west-central Caribbean sea at 20 to
25 mph. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and
gusty winds, perhaps to tropical storm force, are likely along the
southern coast of the Dominican Republic and Haiti today. Tropical
storm conditions are likely to occur over Jamaica by this afternoon
or evening, and could reach the Cayman Islands overnight. Interests
in these areas and elsewhere in the western Caribbean Sea should
continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

 

ZZZZZzzzzzzz