First tropical depression

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Barry Cuda, Apr 20, 2017.

  1. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    Talk about early!! First depression for 2017 has formed in Atlantic (north).
    It won't do us much good, but it is an early start.
  2. Towelie

    Towelie Well-Known Member

    Nov 27, 2014
    not buying until Betty confirms this

  3. nopantsLance

    nopantsLance Well-Known Member

    Aug 15, 2016
  4. sigmund

    sigmund Well-Known Member

    Dec 7, 2015
    I as at the beach this morning, swell is starting to show.
  5. UnfurleD

    UnfurleD Well-Known Member

    Jul 13, 2016
    yea, a touch up swell. Not particularly good for my break, but there are supposed to be a couple ripples bigger than in my toilet. happy 420 urrybody, especially u barricudah
  6. JayD

    JayD Well-Known Member

    Feb 6, 2012
    ....sub-tropical. Looks like it will get swept up by the other Low. Some fun surf this morning and looks to be decent for next few days. sub-tropical low not really giving us the swell. I think the other low is what we are seeing the E swell from. Not epic but fun enough!!!
  7. Zeroevol

    Zeroevol Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2009
    As I recall, Betty caught them early, but not many panned out. Well, at least from what I saw. Excited for some waves this weekend. Moving from the 4/3 to the 3/2!
  8. sigmund

    sigmund Well-Known Member

    Dec 7, 2015
    I was getting pitted this morning, it was clearly from the tropical low because it had a strong undertoe, and it felt kinda warm out.
  9. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    It's true, but it was so unimpressive and phony looking, I ignored it and didn't post it up fellas.
  10. frost

    frost Well-Known Member

    Jul 31, 2014
    its double overhead at 10 secs. here
  11. JayD

    JayD Well-Known Member

    Feb 6, 2012
    I don't think so bro. I think it is from the Low off the coast not the sub tropical one over a 1000 NM out. I could be wrong...glad you got pitted. It was not Pit worthy in Kitty Hawk this morning but clean and fun.

    edit: I was just looking at the current radar. The more I look at it, there is a large area of High Pressure Directly off the coast and the Low is going off today. Not so sure the small scale surf we are seeing isn't from the H....with the swell from L to continue to fill in over the next few days, while the sub L is way the hell out there and we would be seeing 13-15 seconds from that thing, which we are not IMO (and according to buoys).
    Last edited: Apr 20, 2017
  12. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Here you go :
    WTNT41 KNHC 201442

    Tropical Depression One Discussion Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012017
    1100 AM AST Thu Apr 20 2017

    Conventional satellite imagery indicate that the convection,
    although not very deep, has become more symmetric around the center,
    suggesting that the subtropical cyclone has transitioned into a
    tropical depression. This is supported by AMSU data this morning
    that shows that the system has developed a weak, but warm core. This
    transition is a common process, and does not change the previous
    intensity or track forecasts that call for the depression to
    become a remnant low later today, and become absorbed by a larger
    low tonight or early Friday. It is estimated that the depression is
    producing winds of 30 kt within some convective bands. Since the
    circulation is already becoming elongated, a weakening trend is
    likely to begin soon.

    The depression is moving toward the northwest at 12 kt, and this
    general motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected
    to continue until dissipation.


    INIT 20/1500Z 36.1N 40.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
    12H 21/0000Z 38.0N 43.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    24H 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    Forecaster Avila"
  13. HelpHelpLetMeOut

    HelpHelpLetMeOut Well-Known Member

    Mar 2, 2017
    you missed the sarc coming from the millennial leftist
  14. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
  15. kidde rocque

    kidde rocque Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2016
  16. JayD

    JayD Well-Known Member

    Feb 6, 2012
  17. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    Is now tropical storm Arlene.
  18. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    Thanks! Now it's official, like the start of the Daytona 500, or the NFL season. It's ON!!!!
  19. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Tropical Storm Arlene Discussion Number 8
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012017
    500 AM AST Fri Apr 21 2017

    Arlene has maintained a small area of deep convection surrounding
    the center of the cyclone, with some of the cloud tops as cold as
    -50 deg C. However, satellite trends over the past couple of hours
    indicate that the areal coverage of the convection has decreased
    significantly since the 0600 UTC satellite intensity estimates, an
    indication that Arlene is beginning to lose its tropical
    characteristics as the cyclone interacts with a frontal zone and
    also moves over cooler water. Dvorak current intensity estimates
    remain at 45 kt, and that is the intensity used for this advisory.

    The initial motion estimate is now 270/27 kt. Arlene has
    accelerated westward during the past 6 hours as the cyclone moves
    around the northern periphery of a larger deep-layer extratropical
    low that has remained nearly stationary near 36N 48W. The small
    cyclone or its remnants are expected to move in a cyclonic loop
    around this low for the next couple of days.

    Arlene is gradually running out of space within the narrow warm
    sector of the aforementioned occluded low pressure system, and
    merger with one or more frontal zones is likely during the next 12
    hours. The new official intensity forecast continues the trend of
    the previous advisory, which shows Arlene degenerating to a
    post-tropical cyclone by 12 hours, and dissipating by 24 hours when
    the system is expected to be absorbed into the larger baroclinic

    Tropical storms in April are rare and Arlene is only the second
    one observed in this month during the satellite era. It should be
    noted, however, that this type of storm was practically impossible
    to detect prior to the weather satellite era.


    INIT 21/0900Z 40.0N 48.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
    12H 21/1800Z 39.5N 50.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    24H 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  20. sigmund

    sigmund Well-Known Member

    Dec 7, 2015
    They were tropical pits, barry can confirm. If not, how would you explain the undertoe?