Wow!! Talk about early!! First depression for 2017 has formed in Atlantic (north). It won't do us much good, but it is an early start.
yea, a touch up swell. Not particularly good for my break, but there are supposed to be a couple ripples bigger than in my toilet. happy 420 urrybody, especially u barricudah
....sub-tropical. Looks like it will get swept up by the other Low. Some fun surf this morning and looks to be decent for next few days. sub-tropical low not really giving us the swell. I think the other low is what we are seeing the E swell from. Not epic but fun enough!!!
As I recall, Betty caught them early, but not many panned out. Well, at least from what I saw. Excited for some waves this weekend. Moving from the 4/3 to the 3/2!
I was getting pitted this morning, it was clearly from the tropical low because it had a strong undertoe, and it felt kinda warm out.
I don't think so bro. I think it is from the Low off the coast not the sub tropical one over a 1000 NM out. I could be wrong...glad you got pitted. It was not Pit worthy in Kitty Hawk this morning but clean and fun. edit: I was just looking at the current radar. The more I look at it, there is a large area of High Pressure Directly off the coast and the Low is going off today. Not so sure the small scale surf we are seeing isn't from the H....with the swell from L to continue to fill in over the next few days, while the sub L is way the hell out there and we would be seeing 13-15 seconds from that thing, which we are not IMO (and according to buoys).
Here you go : " 000 WTNT41 KNHC 201442 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression One Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012017 1100 AM AST Thu Apr 20 2017 Conventional satellite imagery indicate that the convection, although not very deep, has become more symmetric around the center, suggesting that the subtropical cyclone has transitioned into a tropical depression. This is supported by AMSU data this morning that shows that the system has developed a weak, but warm core. This transition is a common process, and does not change the previous intensity or track forecasts that call for the depression to become a remnant low later today, and become absorbed by a larger low tonight or early Friday. It is estimated that the depression is producing winds of 30 kt within some convective bands. Since the circulation is already becoming elongated, a weakening trend is likely to begin soon. The depression is moving toward the northwest at 12 kt, and this general motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected to continue until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 36.1N 40.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/0000Z 38.0N 43.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila"
Tropical Storm Arlene Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012017 500 AM AST Fri Apr 21 2017 Arlene has maintained a small area of deep convection surrounding the center of the cyclone, with some of the cloud tops as cold as -50 deg C. However, satellite trends over the past couple of hours indicate that the areal coverage of the convection has decreased significantly since the 0600 UTC satellite intensity estimates, an indication that Arlene is beginning to lose its tropical characteristics as the cyclone interacts with a frontal zone and also moves over cooler water. Dvorak current intensity estimates remain at 45 kt, and that is the intensity used for this advisory. The initial motion estimate is now 270/27 kt. Arlene has accelerated westward during the past 6 hours as the cyclone moves around the northern periphery of a larger deep-layer extratropical low that has remained nearly stationary near 36N 48W. The small cyclone or its remnants are expected to move in a cyclonic loop around this low for the next couple of days. Arlene is gradually running out of space within the narrow warm sector of the aforementioned occluded low pressure system, and merger with one or more frontal zones is likely during the next 12 hours. The new official intensity forecast continues the trend of the previous advisory, which shows Arlene degenerating to a post-tropical cyclone by 12 hours, and dissipating by 24 hours when the system is expected to be absorbed into the larger baroclinic low. Tropical storms in April are rare and Arlene is only the second one observed in this month during the satellite era. It should be noted, however, that this type of storm was practically impossible to detect prior to the weather satellite era. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0900Z 40.0N 48.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 21/1800Z 39.5N 50.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
