Forecasters are stoned on something or is it "too much" automation of the forecast

Discussion in 'Global Surf Talk' started by ScorchieLeWave, Sep 15, 2013.

  1. ScorchieLeWave

    ScorchieLeWave Well-Known Member

    100
    Nov 15, 2010
    Tomorrow's forecast for Nantasket Beach in Hull, MA (for Monday September 16, 2013)

    Surf

    Waist to stomach high SSE extra long period swell for the morning with occasional chest high sets. This drops in the afternoon with occasional 3 to 4 times overhead high sets.
    Conditions

    Clean in the early morning with WSW winds 5-10mph.

    Jesus, if there were really true, I'd be jumping up and down! What happened Swellinfo.com?

    Christ, I'd quit life itself if it was that big on the drop in height?

    What's going on with the Hurley Pro Trestles but hey, there might be some Humberto lines tomorrow - so don't plan on going to work or to school until you check the waves in the AM!

    Yo dudes, I don't smoke anything but I don't blame you - I would probably resort to something in my pipe if I had to watch the ocean every day - so do what you need to do, ok?

    But if someone near Cape Cod has a boat, please go out today and see if there any long-period swells. Thanks.
     
  2. mop

    mop Well-Known Member

    46
    Jul 24, 2010
    Ya the forecasting on this site is wrong more than its correct. You have to cross reference with the NWS and other sites, but we are at the mercy of these gapes because there isn't many detailed surf forecast for the east. Well then you add in the whole Advertisement factor and you realize whats really going on here. That's why I'm looking at a petsmart ad right now?
     

  3. aka pumpmaster

    aka pumpmaster Well-Known Member

    Apr 30, 2008
    called it perfect where I was. let me guess Mop, you like magicseaweed...
     
  4. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    its a programming bug. The swell goes to 0ft @ 0sec, and this is created a programming problem, instead of saying flat, it showed the max surf height. I"ll get this fixed. Thanks for bringing it to our attention.
     
    Last edited: Sep 15, 2013
  5. petesmith

    petesmith Well-Known Member

    83
    Oct 12, 2009
    Its right for me about 90% of the time when the forecast is 48 hours away or less.
     
  6. moledog

    moledog New Member

    2
    May 20, 2012
    Love swell info,,,,pretty spot on here in jersey,,,,,keep it going!!!! Shine on!
     
  7. Brett

    Brett Well-Known Member

    101
    Dec 4, 2010
    Dude nantasket is the armpit of the coast..I just take the forecast for that place and add 1-2 feet for other local spots
     
  8. dudeclimbing

    dudeclimbing Well-Known Member

    263
    Apr 16, 2013
    No ones perfect bud. If it is a glitch it will be fixed I'm sure. Most of us check a few sites just to be sure. Would ya rather drive 50 miles or take 5 min to check. At least they are better than the local weather guy. Some technology is better than none.
     
  9. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    that little glitch has been fixed. thanks again for bringing it to our attention.
     
  10. ScorchieLeWave

    ScorchieLeWave Well-Known Member

    100
    Nov 15, 2010
    I'm just kidding about it - I'm not worried about the forecast - I just thought it was funny that it was going to drop to 3 - 4 times overhead, that's all. I'm not dissatisfied with the forecasts - they are perfectly fine - I enjoy them - keep up the good work! :)
    If someone makes a mistake and you know it's a mistake, it doesn't bother you.
     
  11. ScorchieLeWave

    ScorchieLeWave Well-Known Member

    100
    Nov 15, 2010
    Nantasket is more than just an armpit

    Good point. Actually, Nantasket IS officially classified as an armpit, which is a concave surface, hence the waves undergo a concave refraction and jack up higher than normal, unfortunately after the armpit, they then meet with a bicep which is a highly convex surface and they thus undergo a convex refraction and they get smaller again. But I catch the waves so far out that the waves are larger than the other local spots by at least a foot.

    By the way, I would rather have this shoulder:
    AlbumYE.JPG
     
  12. surfer420

    surfer420 Member

    7
    Sep 9, 2012
    pretty sure jersey is the arm pit state?
     
  13. surfer420

    surfer420 Member

    7
    Sep 9, 2012
    to bad half you guys are on this checking the reports when there is actually waves and your missing them cause your to busy thinking if the report is right or wrong i dont mind tho keep it up keeps more people out of the water!
     
  14. thisguysthumbs

    thisguysthumbs Well-Known Member

    57
    Jul 25, 2012
    Hey Administrator, Keep up the good work. This sight is always my first go to. I love the layout of the site, and the fact that, for those flat times that there's an open forum for all sorts of random things. I might need to go somewhere else to confirm certain things or reinforce the accuracy of your report, mainly a walk to the beach to put my own eyes on things, but you're keeping it real by keeping it free, so thanks a million.
     
  15. ScorchieLeWave

    ScorchieLeWave Well-Known Member

    100
    Nov 15, 2010
    Good point!
     
  16. Paddington Jetty Bear

    Paddington Jetty Bear Well-Known Member

    Apr 23, 2013
    Why are you dudes so dependant on internet surf forecasts? It's the east coast. We get 98% of our waves from onshore winds associated with various weather systems. So........if the wind starts to blow(South, man, SE, man, blow out of the South, man. Don't go Northeast) the surf should start to pick up.......then again maybe it won't. Then, after said front moves away from your favorite jetty, it should eventually clean up.....then again maybe it won't.

    There you go. Hey man, if it's raining on your head and the winds be a blowing, there will probably be some surf......then again maybe there won't.

    And congrats SWELLINFO.COM on getting mentioned in The Press of Atlantic City. Not only did SWELLINFO.COM get a mention. They got a BOLDFACED mention. Man, it stuck out from the rest of the article. The sports page did a thang on The Belmar Pro and Jon Coen loves SWELLINFO.COM. SWELLINFO.COM was the official surf forecaster for The Belmar Pro. Though, there seemed to be a discrepancy between the two entities concerning the surf on Friday. But that seems to be a common theme in Jersey. No one can agree if there was(is) waves or not...ever. Tastes Great....Less Filling............

    So, stop complaining if you disagree with the surf forecasts. Surfing isn't a science and neither is the ocean. It does what it wants...it does what it wants.....you don't know it...it does what it wants. Surprises, both good and bad, are part of the game. You win some and you lose some. Do you really want to take the mystery out of this whole surfing thang?

    And thanks guys, for sarcastically pointing out whenever there's an obvious glitch in the website. Way to go.
     
  17. wombat

    wombat Well-Known Member

    158
    Apr 10, 2012
    this seemed to be a very erratic swell in terms of size. I was out all day at south OCNJ and it was never really much over waist but really clean. Some folks came down from the north end where it was allegedly chest to head but more disorganized. some other dude showed up late in the day and said that AC was 1-2' overhead in the morning. i am taller than the average bloke which maybe skews my view but that is a pretty big variance. generally pretty consistent with the 2-3+ SI forecast.

    lots of kooks saturday!