Just caught an article explaining the likely hood of an el nino developing in the next 2 months. They say 2 in 3 chance as of now. Got my curiosity going, so I attempted to get some info on what, if anything, this means to me here in moco... can't really find much info. I understand what it is.. but not sure what the effects are here in the mid atlantic?? I know some swellers are are up to speed...... drop some of that knowledge on me .... yo
My understanding is that we are likely to see a change in storm tracks, making nor'easters more likely, as opposed to the kind of winter we saw last year with lots of south windswell events. No guarantees, though.
Hasn't El Nino been going on out west lately? I could be wrong, but the SoCal water temps seemed higher last month then in 2013 this time of year.
Dunno what it means here. I know in the pacific, it pushes the storms down south a few hundred to a 1000 miles down on average, so the whole west coast gets a ton of west in their NW swells. This is VERY good for southern CA as all the major swell activity clears the channel islands and fills in very nicely, and Norcal gets its usual lashing from high surf all season as well. I think it also changes things in HI quite a bit, but I don't see much difference since the WNW's in CA are still aimed directly at the north end of the islands as well.
