News Flash: NHC says 100% likelihood. Watches for Mex, Tex and Louisiana. Disturbance 1: 100% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours As of 8:00 am EDT Wed Aug 23 2017 ... Satellite images, reconnaissance data and surface observations indicate that the remmants of Harvey are close to redeveloping into a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico about 150 miles west of Merida, Mexico. Advisories will likely be re-initiated at 10 am CDT on this system. The low is forecast to move to the northwest at about 10 mph across the western Gulf of Mexico, possibly reaching the northwestern Gulf coast late Friday. This system is likely to slow down once it reaches the coast, increasing the threat of a prolonged period of heavy rainfall and flooding across portions of Texas and Louisiana into early next week. Harvey could also produce storm surge and tropical storm or hurricane force winds along portions of the Texas coast later this week, and Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches could be required later today for portions of the coast of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and southwestern Louisiana. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system and refer to products issued by your local National Weather Service office for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.