How does swell info work?

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by BassMon2, Jan 5, 2016.

  1. Peajay4060

    Peajay4060 Well-Known Member

    Nov 14, 2011
    I don't know. but im guessing the time between the last update of the day and the first one the next day is pretty far apart. A lot can happen overnight with a short period swell and local wind.
     
  2. Average Joe

    Average Joe Well-Known Member

    48
    Jun 18, 2014
    maybe im wrong, but swell direction is ENE, so that would pretty much sweep past LI no, depending on where you are? Eastern LI might pickup some swell but Lincoln and Roackaways wouldn't?
     

  3. shaunfig

    shaunfig Well-Known Member

    77
    Apr 11, 2014
    Yeah theres swell out there even a small craft advisory its dead east though going right by us I've noticed si always over estimates wave heights for east swells on li no biggie the other site had it right but always check the wave direction on si.
     
  4. xJohnnyUtahX

    xJohnnyUtahX Well-Known Member

    472
    May 30, 2010
  5. salt

    salt Well-Known Member

    Mar 9, 2010
    I think it pulls from various sources. I think it's a combo of variable components like NOAA forecasts, local wind forecasts, and buoy readings. If you can extrapolate what you need from those three sources you get a proper surf forecast if it is applied to your static components or constants such as topography and bathimetry.
    Does that make sense?
     
  6. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    That, and you can also click the buoy at the top of the page for your break and see what it's doing real time.
     
  7. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    Back to original posted question, who says SI does even work??
    Maybe it is a bunch of hokey pokey?? Mumbo Jumbo?? Caca laka??
     
  8. salt

    salt Well-Known Member

    Mar 9, 2010
    Nah man, it works pretty well. I notice sometimes it gets crappy and not reliable, i'd say 60% of the time it works 90% of the time.
     
  9. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    You then mean...54% of the time??? About right....coin flip.
     
  10. Valhallalla

    Valhallalla Well-Known Member

    Jan 24, 2013
    Yeah, but we need it to do a great job all the time.
     
  11. sigmund

    sigmund Well-Known Member

    Dec 7, 2015
    I too assumed the models were reading swells going the *wrong* way, but slap my mama, a lil chest high swell showed up in NH this afternoon. If it wasn't 19 degrees I'd a gone out.

    Moral is, blindly trust the models in all instances, they are the teat of life upon which we suckle.
     
  12. shaunfig

    shaunfig Well-Known Member

    77
    Apr 11, 2014
    My 123456asdfez are like that madd wow and league from back in the day
     
  13. BassMon2

    BassMon2 Well-Known Member

    Jan 27, 2015
    That's what I usually do DP. I just glance at the SI forecast, just to get an easy to read idea of what MIGHT be going on. But then I look at the buoy and all that other lovey data in real time when making decisions in the AM. That's when I realized something was up (or not up I should say. HA!) today.

    I got to say, usually SI is pretty close. Not perfect by any means, and I don't expect it to be. But today was the furthest I ever saw it off. Hence my curiosity.
     
  14. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    I hear ya dude, and I agree, normally it's pretty dead on, but occasionally it doesn't materialize to what it looks like it's going to be, other times it will pleasantly surprise you. Look at it like this, at least there is still some sort of excitement getting to the beach to find out if it's good or not, kinda like in the ole days before cams and surf predictin websites.
     
  15. trevolution

    trevolution Well-Known Member

    Feb 16, 2012
    Barry there was a fun little longboard wave at the wall today. Around 11-2. Maybe waiste high with + sets. Kids were grovelin on shortboards too, one lil ****er even did a decent air with a grabie dealie and all.
     
  16. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    I saw it. It was small, short period wave. Given the air temps, it was not worth it for me. However, we may have a nice swell coming up this weekend??
     
  17. seldom seen

    seldom seen Well-Known Member

    Aug 21, 2012
    Of course silly, but they took my buoy away still.
     
  18. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    No buoy for you! One year!

    - Soup Natzi
     
  19. salt

    salt Well-Known Member

    Mar 9, 2010
    I was just dropping a Ron Burgundy reference. I think SI within 3 days notice is like 75% accurate. that ain't too bad when you're predicting God's handy work.
     
  20. EMazzSpicoli

    EMazzSpicoli Well-Known Member

    182
    Jul 1, 2015
    We should have daily RB references on here.