Hurricane dynamics

How much does reaching for that bottle affect the proliferation of brain thoughts to ones finger tips on the keyboard at 2:02 am....just kidding

 

Thisnis the one I am watching
http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/

 

A cane going over a relatively small landmass, in an area of warm friggin water, won't dissapate too much...i.e. Carribean Islands.......Florida.........once the core gets back in that warm friggin water and no upper wind shearing has occured that sucka can just strengthen thinking aboot New Jersey and how the NJ tourism board taunts him/her. Dudes, I have "Stronger than the Storm" just ringing in my head these days, and I keep picturing Chris Christie's daughter staring at me........and his wife. Handsome family by the way

Don't even think aboot Pacific hurricanes unless you are headed to Laguna Beach for surf and to see the town of Archy's favorite MTV show of the same name....like eponymous and all.

Oh I'm just joking with you Archy. Hopper better than Citta? That's just ridiculous. Though everyone knows Brian Kelly was the best surfer in New Jersey ever, except for Matt Keenan. Next you'll be telling me that Sam Hammer(scary, scary dude) is better than Sam Zuegner. LBI is where all the tough kids come to play, even though the area is 15 years behind the rest of the state when it comes to drugs, thugs, and guns. Hey Ocean County types, try not to OD, ok, you sissies. Jesus, they've been dropping like flies the past couple of months.

 

I'd say you're not the only one watching that...
I for one am looking foward to the name Chan-Tal.... mmmmmhmmmm. lol.

 

Good chance it will be a weak tropical storm with models all over the place ranging from being torn apart over mtns of Dominican Republic and then limping north to die in the Bahamas to a more northward turn to the southeast next weekend... Just too soon to say. I see the SI has us nearly flat next weekend. So far.

 

yeah too early to tell.. but cane 4casters giving it 60% chance of becoming a tropical storm. Msw has decent waves for next weekend (3 to 4). but we all know how that goes this far off...

 

MSW misled me so many times I stopped looking at them years ago. Be patient, we'll get some. Had a decent little run of swell down south for the last 4 days. Stay in shape, the swell is coming!

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1SxmD97uxE&feature=player_embedded

EmassSpicoli here is another forecast link that might answer some questions for you

 

tropical storms are fueled by warm tropical waters... Storms weaken over land.

 

To be specific, if the land mass is mountainous like the island of Hispaniola, then it can disrupt the convection and weaken the cyclone. If it comes across swamp, like Wilma did when it back doored Florida from the Yucatan, it can actually gain strength. This next weekend could be very interesting, due to the location of the Atlantic high pressure ( "The Bermuda High" ), which is kinda east of where it has been the last few years. Stay in shape, and fix the dings on your big boy board. Get your chores done.

 

Indeed, Wilma caught everyone off guard, can't believe how strong she got going over Florida, good example of how unpredictable these storms really are.

 

Hell yeah man. The reason I get up early every morning and paddle out, even when it ain't pretty.

 

Yes he is, if there is a storm or a front in our window he will frequently put a video out and walk you through
it and put it in terms that everyone understands....plus he surfs too!! Tropical Tidbits is another informational webcast you could check out, he is also very good.

 

I had some of my best surf sessions ever the past 4-5 days, nothing like finding a spot all to yourself (maybe one or two others) and surfing till your arms fall off, i'm still buzzing from it