Invest 90L Caribbean and Gulf

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 3, 2017.

  1. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    This invest is in the east Caribbean and bears watching, to see if it develops...it might could cross over the Yucatán and into the gulf.
     
  2. Panhandler

    Panhandler Well-Known Member

    238
    Oct 27, 2015
    Please make it so, the last few you've sent us have worked out well. But its been a lake and we're due
     

  3. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    I will keep you in mind :)
     
  4. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Disturbance 2: 20% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 am EDT Fri Aug 4 2017 ...
    A strong tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is
    producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for
    development by Sunday over the western Caribbean Sea and by early
    next week over the Bay of Campeche while the disturbance moves
    westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. This system could
    produce brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds over Aruba, Bonaire,
    and Curacao tonight and Friday. For additional information on this
    system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
     
  5. ibc

    ibc Well-Known Member

    Aug 3, 2014
    Cmon, Golfo!

    Been flat for weeks.
     
  6. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Disturbance 2: 20% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 8:00 am EDT Fri Aug 4 2017 ...
    A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the
    central and eastern Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical
    wave. This disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward at
    about 15 mph across the western Caribbean Sea and Bay of Campeche
    through the middle of next week, where environmental conditions
    appear conducive for development.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
     
  7. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Disturbance 2: 20% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 am EDT Sat Aug 5 2017 ...
    A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
    over the south-central Caribbean Sea. The wave is moving westward
    at 15 mph and development, if any, during the next day or two
    will likely to be slow. Conditions could become a little more
    favorable for tropical cyclone formation early next week if the
    disturbance moves over the southern Bay of Campeche. There is also a
    possibility that the wave moves over Central America, and in that
    case no development is anticipated.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
     
  8. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    As of 2:00 am EDT Sun Aug 6 2017 ...
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave
    located over the central Caribbean Sea have changed little. However,
    further development of this system is possible while it moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression or
    tropical storm could form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea before
    it reaches the Yucatan peninsula late Monday or Tuesday. Even if
    formation does not occur before the system reaches the Yucatan
    peninsula, a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over
    the Bay of Campeche by midweek. Development would likely not occur
    if the system moves inland over Central America and southeastern
    Mexico and does not re-emerge over water. An Air Force Reserve
    reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this
    afternoon, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras,
    Belize, and the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico should monitor the
    progress of this disturbance.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
     
  9. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Hello TS Franklin

    Flhurricane.com:

    "Ptnl SEVEN has become Tropical Storm Franklin, the sixth named storm, and seventh tropical cyclone of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Only four other years have had six Named Storms by this date in the Atlantic basin: 1936, 1959, 2005 and 2012. (Cr. Philip Klotzbach) "
     
  10. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    765
    Mar 29, 2011
    Looking better and better!
     
  11. Rocketjok

    Rocketjok Well-Known Member

    64
    Jul 30, 2015
    Welcome!
    "The NHC currently gives 99L a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. The disturbance is currently expected to track to the north of the Caribbean and NE of the Bahamas, though there will be a little extra uncertainty in this forecast while a closed low does not exist along the wave axis."
     
  12. mudpuppet

    mudpuppet Member

    24
    Dec 16, 2010
    What ever happened to to tropical update tab? No offense but following these threads is painful.
     
  13. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    Due to "inappropriate language", simod4 banned them. Apparently, they made simod 4 hot to trot.....