Invest 94L off NC Coast

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Sep 7, 2018.

  1. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    From flhurricane.com yesterday. Persists today...

    “A weak, but persistent area of low pressure at the centered near 30N 68W continues beefing up with convection today, with an increase in both surface convergence and vorticity.

    This has gone mostly unseen and unforecast by the global models, but at least one run of the 3km FV3 has appeared to develop a weak closed low here, and some CMC runs I know hinted at his a little, too. Sometimes systems like this can be sleepers, missed by models until they are already developed.

    Being that this feature is both already so close to land (U.S. and Bermuda) and could, could possibly adjust the future steering currents for Florence, it's worth watching and we are now starting a Lounge on this one.

    Edit: Last couple of runs of the Parent HWRF pick it up pretty well - Florence eats it as a quick snack. “