flhurricane.com: A disturbance we have been keeping an eye on in the southwestern Caribbean associated with the Central American Gyre presently centered about 200 miles ese of the easternmost tips of Nicaragua and Honduras has now been Invest tagged 94L. Conditions for tropical cyclone formation are marginal, and 94L probably only has a day or two left fully over the Caribbean waters before it starts to interact with or moves inland over central America. It is also possible, although not currently forecast, that a better defined LLC forms within 94L more in its northern or northeastern sections, and avoids moving inland long enough to have a better chance to develop. The One interesting forecast scenario favored by several models so far is delayed TC Genesis until the low crosses over into the East Pac, where it then becomes a powerful October hurricane that loops back into and across mainland Mexico, with remnant vorticity ending up over the Gulf late in these model's runs. Regardless of development while in the Caribbean, the disturbance is likely to to result in very heavy and potentially life-threatening rains over portions of Central America either way during the coming week. NHC opening bid 20%
is this the one that's doing like a magic trick across the US? i see one coming into mexico n popping into tennessee and all the way up. few other things on the radar coming from the southwest. big bump at the end of next week, some strong winds
This lack of a strong cold front that pushes south of the peninsula anytime soon has me nervous. When they stall this late in the tropical season, anything can and will happen. Hopefully a big noreaster gets going soon, that would also help with the red tide situation on the east coast. It's like a petri dish down here.
