Invest 99L

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 21, 2016.

  1. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Flhurricane.com:
    "
    Morning model summary:

    The 6Z GFS now keeps 99L weak as it passes through the Leeward islands Wed-Thursday.
    It then gets very close to the Turks and Caicos on Friday, but then begins to slow down and as it approaches the lower fidelity time of the GFS.

    Develops into a Hurricane on Aug 31st near the northeastern Bahamas and then kicks out to sea. The 0z run kept it weak and wandered into central Florida.

    The Euro keeps it a wave or weaker the entire time and also kicks it out to sea near the Bahamas, seemly pulled east by 90L to the east of it, which is a strong hurricane at the time (and that one goes out to sea way before any land area)

    So trend is slightly better for both the Leewards and the US as it shows a very weak system over the Leewards and then eventually pushes it out to sea. Enough uncertainty in the ultra long range not to stop monitoring it though considering the ensemble runs. Another trend appears to be the idea of it stalling out near or just east of the Bahamas."