the long range forecasts on this site are constantly wrong or not even close. how come LOLA has it figured out when you dudes are absolutely clueless? i'm going back to surfline.
i know why you guys do it. you clearly get increased page views when the long range forecast looks good or the hurricane light is blinking but instead of looking for cheap page hits to boost your ad sales how bout you just cut the crap and give it to us straight. ya dig?
Swellinfo forecasts are based off model guidance, like all long range weather or surf forecasts are. You throw a tropical system in the mix, and ya, there are going to be some discrepancies between forecast/model updates. The track and development of Emily will highly influence any long range forecasts. People tend to forget how unreliable tropical system forecasts are.
yer dern tootn, lee.that tool should go back to surfline and leave the negative stalking to me......yankees suck
i understand the "uncertainty" of tropical systems but shouldn't you temper your forecast to reflect that rather than take the best possible outcome? for instance yesterday for a while the long range for monmouth county put the weekend at chest to head high over two days now it's in the waist range. i'm just saying instead of fudging the forecast to look the most favorable wait until you have a better idea of the system or fetch so you're not blowing smoke up my rear. more favorable forecasts boost your page views which in turn helps boost ad sales/revenue. instead of trying to make a buck, be honest. that's all.
How is he not honest ??? Did he take your money and rip u off ???? Last time I check the site was free to use. there are something that the forcast cant calculate into the forcast like bottom conditions . If alot of sand has moved around it could have made or added to a exhisting sandbar . Maybe you should stop depending on a site and learn about what works best at the breaks you surf at. Weather changes in a moments notice
There is no choosing between optimal forecast tracks or fudging long range forecasts to make it look better. Forecasts are based off the GFS model (global forecasting system) wind forecasts, and hurricane forecasts are at times shifted to the GFDL Hurricane model wind forecast.
don't bother,Matt,he hates longboarders.no one's stopping you from leaving.why do you care about monmouth when your profile has you bodyboarding west florida?at least go to the gulf coast forum
@ matt long range forecast have nothing to do with bathymetric anomalies, these are forecast based on fetch patterns and weather system movement. @swellinfo (i think it's micah) if you're using GFS or the GFDL why don't you try switching it up. try LOLA or NOAA and see if that makes any difference. Just admit that positive long range forecasts and "favorable" hurricane models help boost your page views.
Swellinfo runs a wave model which uses wind input from weather models. Wind input will come from weather models, such as GFS, which is the top global forecast model (run by NCEP/NOAA), which basically every weather forecasting business will use for long range forecasts. That is the short of it. I hope to build out a tutorial section elaborating on many things, including understanding the fundamentals of weather and wave models.