As of 2:00 am EDT Sun Aug 27 2017 ... A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to emerge over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean tonight or early Monday. Environmental conditions may be conducive for slow development by the middle of next week while the wave moves westward about 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
As of 2:00 am EDT Mon Aug 28 2017 ... A tropical wave located near the coast of western Africa is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Disturbance 1: 40% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours As of 2:00 pm EDT Mon Aug 28 2017 ... A tropical wave and associated low pressure area located a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form in two or three days over the eastern Atlantic. The low is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible in portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Damn, the models show it a Cat 1 or Cat 2 in a few days, heading up coast and offshore. Chugga chugga choo choo!!! The hype train has left the station.
As of 8:00 am EDT Tue Aug 29 2017 ... Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area near the Cabo Verde Islands have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in 2 or 3 days over the eastern Atlantic. The low is forecast to move generally west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. Heavy rain is possible over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
As of 2:00 pm EDT Tue Aug 29 2017 ... A low pressure area located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better defined since yesterday. Any significant increase in the associated thunderstorm activity would result in the formation of a tropical depression within the next day or two. The low is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. Heavy rain is possible over portions of the northwestern Cabo Verde Islands through tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
"Today's 12Z euro keeps it north of the Caribbean islands, but has a cat 3 hurricane just east of the Bahamas on Sep 8. the 12GFS doesn't really develop it, but the weather moves over Florida on Sep 11th (after going through the Bahamas)"--- Flhurricane.com Get your batteries, find the shutters, get water.
Bring it on!!! Hopefully I can meet the famous storm chaser Jeff Piowloski if a Cat 5 hits here, I will be wherever he is.
Fingers crossed for a monster CAT 5. Hopefully will develop and head up the East Coast and out to sea. Looking forward to some long period swell and some bomb drops. Break out the step-ups..
Make sure you hit up all the streets in OCM and don't forget southside. Look for a guy named clownface.
Calm down brah! It may hit Cat 1 or 2 max. It will prolly give you a head high plus swell, so maybe I'd wax up the step up and leave the jest ski in the garage if I was in LI. Down here there will be waves of some sort, for a bit, with some wind on it. Fun, not epic. That's my prediction and I'm sticking with it for the duration.
One can only dream.. As of now looking like were due for some solid swell here in LI next weekend. But as the zen master says, "well see"
