"A vigorous wave that has rolled off Africa is merging with an active portion of the Monsoon Trof, and a closed low may be trying to form. This feature is presently located a couple hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands, with movement slowly to the west or west-northwest. Models have alternately run warm/cool on this feature. However, it is looking much more impressive today, and while NHC has not yet highlighted it in previous TWOs, this area of low pressure could become a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days. Steering patterns suggest that early development may encourage a track more to the northwest, toward Barry in New Hampshire, but models suggest that it either develops and then weakens back into a wave after a few days, or never becomes a tropical cyclone during the next ten. A weaker system may have a harder time finding an exit in the ridge to its north, and as such, a longer-term track west is possible. "--flhurricane.com with extraneous comment by Forecaster Betty
