lesson-wise its kinda a surfer 101 type deal. don't turn your back on the big '0'. if you combine 'not looking' with bad luck you're asking for it. for many who paid the ultimate price......PAY ****ING ATTENTION...to whats going on 'round 'ya.
I was told by the fine folks at the Ritz on Amelia Island told me that Amelia is the only stretch of beach in the entire state of Florida that has never fallen victim to a direct hit.
Yeah, after an insane storm the other night, worst one in this area in 2 years, I was presented with some "damage/inefficiencies" in my roof. Not cool. My neighbor just replaced his entire roof. I am NOT hoping for landfall for any of us. Cause I looked at my insurance, and if we get hit my a named storm, my deductible triples. Sh***.
So, on the technical side of things, I don't see a real future forecast model in place just yet for 93L, but based on the storm surf model, showing BLACK, I.E. 50+ sea heights, what is the projected status of this system by MOnday, August 4th when it is over PR etc? Is that about a CAT 2 at that point? 3 maybe?
its going to be a cat 6 and stall off of south carolina people will be kite boarding in the trailor park swimming pools round here wooooo. yall just wait its going to bring 30 foot swells to south car. it will be off the spear, the folly beach pier will be destroyed and the hyrrcane will last about 20 dayz at least.
sandblasters, how many cats are gonna be getting stoked on grom boards in the flooded beds of Mazda pickups?
cats, catz? or cat? which type people,animal,storm? i recon a cat driving a truck into the ocean full of cats and boogie boards will do. they will fight to the death to sponge into shore.
MSW is already clocking the swell arriving in the SE next Tuesday. If they say it is so, then it is the law. So prepare for Head High goodness, because MSW said so.
SI has it a 0.6ft at 16 seconds for Monday at 12am. NOAA just updated it giving it 30% chance in 48 hours and 70% chance in the next 5 days. And based off this the storm will still be sitting deep in the SE by Tuesday giving us a few solid days...fingers crossed. http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=natla_height
did msw really predict a crAZY swell like that? theyre allways wrong anyways i never look at that **** site.
HELLO BERTHA-- From flhurricane.com: "A cluster of heavy showers and some thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave in the central Atlantic is now being tracked as Invest 93L. As of 2AM EDT July 28, Invest 93L was located about 550 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands moving generally westward at around 12 knots, with maximum sustained winds estimated to be no more than about 25MPH, but with higher gusts primarily in thunderstorms. While extremely dry air remains plentiful in the Atlantic basin, 93L is traveling westward along the monsoon trough within a cocoon of moist, unstable air, and over increasingly warm SSTs. Conditions along its path are expected to become even more favorable for further development throughout the upcoming week, and this feature has easily better than even odds of becoming a tropical cyclone as it continues westward, tracking toward the Caribbean. "
MSW has improved its FUcasting game in recent months. Still: 1. SI 2. Windguru (always) 3. MSW 29. Surfline
I use Swellinfo and Surfline for the most part, windguru sometimes, MSW never ever, and I check weather.com and the weather channel, and that's about it, maybe it's just my area but Swellinfo and Surfline both are pretty damn accurate here, if they conflict I usually find a happy medium between the two, meaning they aren't far off, I haven't been skunked in forever, can't even remember when. Every time I get in the vehicle and drive 2-2.5hrs, I pretty much know what to expect, but it took getting to know the breaks to know how each condition affects them.
Good stuff. Unfortunately, Surfline seems to 'not get it' that Maryland is not the same as north Jerz. I've seen Surfline lump the two locales in as one FUcast on many occasions. It's bizarre to me that they don't take the time to do it correctly. The level of detail that Surfline puts into their Cali FUcasts is amazing when compared with the lack of detail (and lack of accuracy) that Surfline pawns off as their east coast FUcast. That one Surflien FUcaster named Mike & the other one nemaed Kurt seem to have zero interest in // or // a near-complete lack of comprehension as to how a S wind affects a break vis a vis a NNW wind at the same break. Pretty lame.
Yeah that would be annoying. I pay for the subscription so it does give you detailed breakdowns by the actual beach you are at, is it worth it? IDK, maybe when you add in all the HD cams, great pics / videos, and the occassional decent story. I don't follow the pros or comps much but I do enjoy a travel story. If money was tight i'd drop it in a heart beat because I do get enough here for free.
See Yank, here's a screenshot of the "Spot forecast". Looks like Belmar is getting some 23's soon (2-3)
