this is a little far out but does anyone know the correlation between swell and weather for next weeks potential nor' easter? like weather. com has two scenarios for the storm, an inland track which would dump rain/ice/wintery mix over most of the coast, with snow inland, and the other scenario is to see blizzard conditions for basically all of the northeast (maps attached). does anyone know which scenario would provide us better waves?
From what I have read from the national weather service, it seems that the computer models are all over the place. Originally, they were in agreement with it giving a lot of snow and blizzard like conditions over most of the N.E., similar to scenario 2. Now, they are stating that they are not in comparison, and the models are all over the place. I have been checking the surf forecast and the weather forecast frequently over the past couple of days and both are consitantly changing. From what it looks like, there should definetly be a rideable wave but the size is up for debate. Most of the coasts should either get a mix or plain rain with lots of wind. Further inland for folks close to the PA line or interior NY should recieve mainly snow. If the track goes more east towards the Atlantic, there should be more snow. If it comes closer to land (bringing warmer air) it should bring more of a mixture of precip. Hope this helps. But who knows, global warming could come around and make it 90 degrees and sunny with 75 degree air temps along with a light 5-10 mph off shore wind with 3-6 ft medium period swell.
too bad thatll never happen and ya that makes a lot of sense. im still unsure of which scenario is better for waves tho.
I think that it will be better if the low is just off the coast as opposed to being on land because it would stir up the ocean more, but I am not a scientist.
I'm hoping that a good noreaster will fix the sandbars in OC/MD after the sand replenishment took 'em out. Not too big though.
