According to one long range forecaster who is more often right than wrong, we might not have much of a Cape Verde tropical season this year given a developing El Nino in the Pacific. El Ninos result in W/SW'ly shearing winds in the tropical Atlantic, either destroying ciruclations before they can get fired up or turning the storms poleward as they reach 50 degrees west longitude. We may be in for the more home-grown variety, spinning up in the Gulf or near-Atlantic.
Right... And, we have already seen the home grown variety this year with 3 storms before July. I suspect we will see many more develop right along the coast, and in my view, these storms can often be the best!
Here's a neat local article about sea turtle nesting and predicting storms: http://jacksonville.com/community/s...velengths-are-sea-turtles-trying-send-message So, do you guys notice if the turtle nests are at a higher elevation than usual?
Mabye the turtles are getting a head start on long term rising mean water heights from global warming. I kind of group the turtle phenomenon with wooly catepillars and the Farmer's Almanac. Maybe there's something to it, but maybe not. Much of the same can be said of our meteorology experts who think they've uncovered the holy grail to tropical storm prediction. That's right about the point where Mother Nature humbles them (and us) once again. I haven't made it to the beach yet, but my vacation starts this weekend. I'll certainly give the turtle nests a look when I get there.
