Disturbance 1: 10% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours As of 8:00 am EDT Fri Oct 6 2017 ... A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a frontal boundary about 800 miles southwest of the Azores on Saturday. Environmental conditions suggest the low will then acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form early next week. The low is forecast to drift over the northeastern Atlantic for the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours As of 2:00 pm EDT Sat Oct 7 2017 ... A non-tropical low pressure system has been nearly stationary about 700 miles southwest of the Azores during the past several hours. This system is gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the development of a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next day or so while the low drifts toward the southwest or south. Thereafter, the atmosphere is expected to become hostile for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Let's see if she makes it to Ophelia.
