New African tropical wave may develop late this week A tropical wave expected to leave the coast of Africa on Tuesday could develop into a tropical depression by next weekend, a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, predicted the 00Z Monday runs of the UKMET and European models. The Sahara Desert dust and dry air machine will be moderately active during the week, and development of this new tropical wave will likely be hindered by dry air. The long-range models are showing a west-northwesterly track for this storm into the Central Atlantic to a location where few storms ever become a threat to the Lesser Antilles Islands.
Ha! Thanks Yankee. Made what was otherwise a very mediocre day tied up with awfulness, really perk up Here is the latest from NHC: 1. A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. A low pressure area is expected to form in association with the wave several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward toward the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent Let's see how it does with the Saharan dust and the dry air. You might recall, a month ago or so I predicted that on Sept 14, a hurricane wold develop off coast of Florida and move off shore up the entire east coast bringing overhead waves. Even to Barry. If it comes true, I will quit work and start betting on horses.
of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours As of 2:00 am EDT Wed Sep 7 2016 ... A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the weekend while it moves west-northwestward toward the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ww3_atlantic&prod=swlwvht&dtg=2016090706&set=All Here she comes, Betty. If you get the certificate warning from the website just proceed, its got something to do with it being an official Navy/Government website.
Dear SI Overlords, You have a gold mine available. Hire Betty to do the extended FUcast, and then pay for her to follow the storm giving after action reports\interviews on the swell. Hire Frankie to travel in front of the storm's path and give people the proper instructions for dealing with their impending doom. "Frankie and Betty's Top Shelf StormCast!"... Ok that was lame, but I'm not a marketing guy. You'll have to figure that out on your own. Betty could even interview actual SI members as they come in from catching the swell. We can discuss my fees via PM....
How 'bout? "Betty's Wild World of Incests" No disrespect to you, Betty...i think your the bees knees!
I'm in! Frankie is awesome! I could ride his coat tails to world wide domination of all things meteorological.
I'll take anything after looking at the upcoming week's flatcast :/ I just want to ride my shortboartè
As of 2:00 am EDT Thu Sep 8 2016 ... A tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is accompanied by a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become a little more favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while this system moves westward and then west-northwestward into the central Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent