""Based on the long range models, the west Caribbean is the next area to watch. Shear is decreasing in the area and the GFS and euro both show something going on there in 10 days. This is way too far out, but the GFS shows the system nearing Florida 4 days before the 10 year mark of the last hurricane to hit Florida (Wilma) -- which was also the last major hurricane (Cat 3+) to make landfall in the US. The FIM experimental model also shows w. carib development by 10/20 see Long range experimental FIM model, take with several grains of salt. All this means is watch the w. Carib for development". Flhurricane.com
