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Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by CJsurf, Aug 20, 2019.
Map for the 29th.
Sunday through all of next week could be pretty interesting from what I've been looking at. On-shore but we might finally see some size. 8 feet at 8 seconds a couple of days with 20 mph E/NE winds. Lifeguards will be busy for sure.
Love it...same website, forecast for same day, but pick the GFS model instead of the Euro and there's nothing at all.
I asked this question on here a while ago, but no one answered. I use that site now and bounce back and forth between both models.
What do you guys find to be most accurate?
Im not sure that theres a correct answer. all the models are predictions, while advanced and educated I would say this.
What has been working for you and which models tend to be more accurate in your region.?
10 days out its all a guess but I'd say I've found the Euro to be most accurate. I live in an extremely coastal flood prone neighborhood and I've been watching storms on Windy since its very beginning and I've found it to be incredibly accurate often to less than an hour accuracy on when critical wind direction shifts would take place. Where my house is just a few degrees in wind direction on a coastal storm can mean the difference between no water in my street and destroyed cars and having to mop up floors inside the house.
Let this thread be a test. As of right now here is that the models are showing for the same time next week. Its worth noting that both models right now are showing waves for the North East:
Perhaps in a couple of days we can screen shot the models again for the same time to see how they've evolved and then again on the day of. I've actually done this before on my own and some storms they lock in on very early and its spot on from the beginning and others the models change wildly every day.
I agree with CJ... I like the Euro for tropical systems. GFS for winter storms.
Agree - Euro has had a better track record for tropical systems last few years.
ugly wind forecast, but
WHERE DA PRE-RUNNERS AT
“Chantal” sounds like she could be fun but currently she don’t know what she wants...
I don't think a system at 45W. is close enough to produce any east coast swell, unless it spins up into a major hurricane, which it isn't forecast to do. I think there is a forecast for a system to develop closer to the coast next week with some potential for swell.
The Atlantic has suddenly gotten pretty interesting.
No doubt...I always like to keep an eye on the ones that loop...it’s like they can morph b/c so much time can pass...conditions can change.
The lead up to this storm before it goes tropical is several days of increasing winds pointed right at our swell window over a huge expanse of ocean. That in and of itself would give us waves.
Yeah, its time for the Atlantic to wake up - shes just starting to yawn out of her slumber.
I think Windy has a very good chance of nailing this one. Gonna be breezy, thats for sure!
Ahhh... Chantal... Reminds me of one night, long ago, as a bartender in Cape May. Let me just say French Canadians love American surfers.
Its worth noting that the GFS model is now showing a hurricane forming although they have it developing more slowly and off of NJ on Friday.
By the way, I'm looking at what would be the D or E storm next week not Chantal.