"A modest tropical wave with an associated pouch, P39L, centered near the Ivory Coast of west Africa is set to enter the far eastern Atlantic by the end of the current week. This wave, while light on convection, has strong model support for development in the 7-14 day range. Normally pushing it even for Lounge material, the overall environment basin wide in the Atlantic, and especially so from about the MDR - west into the Gulf, looks like it could be in a very positive phase for both convection and organization during that time frame. Provided P39L stays south as presently forecast by several global models, there is a chance that a strong tropical cyclone would be approaching the Antilles within a week or so, and then possibly entering the Gulf of Mexico during the first week in October. It is worth noting that since 1900, Florida has had by far the most hurricane landfalls of any state after mid-September (source: Philip Klotzbach). " Flhurricane.com
TD trying to form in Gulf off Corpus Cristi from 92L which you recall passed through Florida straits a week or two ago. This system just doesn't want to die....
Karl reupgraded to tropical storm, barely. Only 6-7 mb pressure under normal. Whoop dee do!! We in the New England will get ripples from this. Big ripples, like 6-8 inches!! Well, certainly bigger than the wave dung out there now!!
2+ at 12 seconds down here in chuck... we will take it.... not sure why some are breaking the neoprene out already though?
