Tropics: upcoming week

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Jun 27, 2017.

  1. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    This is the chatter about the upcoming week in the Tropics from flhurricane.com

    "There's wave coming off Africa that has a 20% chance for development over the next 5 days that the Hurricane Center is mentioning in hte outlook. Although it could develop, odds are it won't. and if it does, it wouldn't last across the Atlantic. We'll keep an eye on it though.

    GFS loses it by Friday (and never really develops it), Euro never really develops it, GFS Para never develops it, CMC does not develop it. The 12Z runs before this showed a bit more development, which is likely what the NHC outlook was based off of.

    Long range, next week seems slightly more likely for development of something else in the Eastern or Central Atlantic, but nothing very firm right now."

    And here is the 5 day graphical from NHC

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
     
  2. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    We need group prayer to kick off the season, get a legit storm out there.
     

  3. yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    Sep 26, 2008
    Paging wayne the insaaaaane & his windowless white van of ducte tape & doome prayer wagonn
     
  4. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    We pray to the Wave Gods around these here parts! :cool:
     
  5. Zeroevol

    Zeroevol Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2009
    Choooooo chooooo
     
  6. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
  7. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Flhurricane.com:

    "
    The National Hurricane Center has dropped the wave chances off the Outlook, leaving the quiet week. The GFS shows something maybe in the Central Atlantic mid to late next week. but there are no other models supporting that yet.

    So likely next week may be quiet as well, but not sure on that yet. "
     
  8. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
  9. yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    Sep 26, 2008
    From Surfline extended fucast today:

    "Also, some of the recent computer model runs suggests a tropical wave moving off West Africa will need to be monitored as it tracks westward through the tropical Atlantic over the next week to ten days. We wouldn't see any potential for swell from that until well into the second week of July so we have plenty of time to watch the system over the coming days."
     
  10. Wavestrom

    Wavestrom Well-Known Member

    439
    Jul 5, 2014
    Yeah, I agree we should sacrifice Barry to the tropical storm gods to kick off the season.
     
  11. fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    Dec 6, 2010
    July 13, waaaaaaaay out there, but it gives us hope, and this is just the GFS that hasn't been to reliable.

    [​IMG]
     
  12. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    "Come to Butthead"
     
  13. fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    Dec 6, 2010
  14. yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    Sep 26, 2008
    lolz! good one DP :cool:
     
  15. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Lmao
     
  16. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    Three GFS model runs in a row showing a system tracking up the coast about a week from now.

    gfs_mslp_wind_eus_fh192-282.gif
     
  17. StuckontheGulf

    StuckontheGulf Well-Known Member

    524
    Apr 23, 2012
    Wow, I hope that happens. Now if I could just get a forecast.
     
  18. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    NHC giving that system a 50% chance of becoming a TD in next five days.

    A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over
    the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. No significant development of
    this system is expected for the next few days while it moves
    westward at about 15 mph. Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast
    to gradually become more conducive, and a tropical depression could
    form by early next week several hundred miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
     
    Wavestrom and antoine like this.
  19. JayD

    JayD Well-Known Member

    Feb 6, 2012
    Well you got my attention. I will be in Cabo all next week. In the above text it says “Cabo verde islands” lol!

    I am the sacrificial lamb leaving the EC...it should be good for you Boyz (and Lady)!!!
     
    antoine likes this.