TS Julia, TS Karl, Next TS forming

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Sep 16, 2016.

  1. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Julia continues to meander around off the Carolina coast. Perhaps it is bringing waves to our SI guys in that area. It should dissipate next week.

    Meanwhile we now have TS Karl which is robust looking. Path continues WNW and it should survive any shear. Stay tuned for updates on Karl.

    There is a robust wave exiting Africa which has a good shot at becoming a named storm.

    There is a weak low in the Gulf.

    There is too much to comment on for a workday morning right now.
     
  2. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Good stuff Betty, lots of energy in the water today but conditions not nearly as clean as forecasted, kinda meh actually. There is size but quality is about a 3.5 outta 10.
     

  3. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    Sweet! Looks like a clean swell down here, although small, from Julia. Karl may be the one that we talk aboot for a while. The current models take it into our window as a developing hurricane in five days. Hopefully as a meandering fish storm. Choo Choo! The hype train has left the station.
     
  4. Valhallalla

    Valhallalla Well-Known Member

    Jan 24, 2013
    WTF Betty? You expect us to figure this stuff out on our own?
     
  5. Valhallalla

    Valhallalla Well-Known Member

    Jan 24, 2013
    So, it's like C or D grade at best?
     
  6. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Lol That's being generous, maybe other spots were better though
     
  7. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    Expected to become a hurricane by early next week, and taking a really promising track

    [​IMG]
     
  8. seldom seen

    seldom seen Well-Known Member

    Aug 21, 2012
  9. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    You love that movie lol
     
  10. UnfurleD

    UnfurleD Well-Known Member

    Jul 13, 2016
    I heard Karl is not make any rainfall in the SouthEast. I'd assume that means it'll stay in the Atlantic riding up the coast a tad though that image suggests otherwise
     
  11. ukelelesurf

    ukelelesurf Well-Known Member

    403
    Apr 25, 2007
    It's rained a lot in Charleston but there has been swell/////yesterday was good ...waist to chest cleanish and drifty.....and tues was fun but kinda choppy but it's really fun today...chest shoulder cleanish but drifty again...good redemption for the lack of waves down here during hermine
     
  12. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    The cone graphic above suggests PR will be "the call" in a few days........
    Also, St. Thomas.....Also, Tortola....etc....etc........
     
  13. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/

    Here are some spaghetti models. In reading the NHC forecasts on Julia, basically they don't know WTF she is going to do, like Yankees ex wife, or was it cepriano? She could go south into Georgia, she could go out to sea. They don't know if she is going to pick up speed or slow down. They should've called her Amber or Tiffany Jo, not Julia.

    For Karl, he is to be watched closely. He is still pretty far out in the Atlantic, they are wondering if he won't go so far south as predicted. He will eventually take a north west track, unclear when that turn will be watch him this weekend and early next week. This could be the one the EC surfers have been waiting for, but it's too soon to know.
     
  14. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    It's likely to pan out given the lack luster season so far. There's always a couple each year and the window of opportunity is closing, so I feel the odds are very high we get the goods, but the odds are also high we get smashed, I pray we don't.
     
  15. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    The last swell was underforcasted down here. Predictd at waist to chest. It was well OH but a bit wind blown and sectiony. Certain spots were better. (Karl could be the real deal) Meanwhile, Julia tomorow could also be underforcasted and clean so bring two boards just in case.
     
  16. fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    Dec 6, 2010
    I don't know about the rest of you, but I caught some really fun ones today, chest to shoulder with some power, semi glassy and a little classy, had a blast
     
  17. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    The buoys are showing 4 ft plus NE @ 8 to 9 seconds. Does that mean it will be flat in RI?

    Summer is over! Choo! Choo!
     
  18. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Awesome dude! Wish I coulda hit low tide but had to work at that time. Woulda worked out better for me. I had to hit last hour of incoming high tide. Was pretty funky at that time but had some power for sure.
     
  19. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Nice Dog! So glad you had a blast :) should be some left today ...

    New wave just coming off Africa:

    "As of 2:00 am EDT Sat Sep 17 2016 ...
    A tropical wave located just offshore of the west coast of Africa is
    accompanied by disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
    and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week
    while this system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
    eastern tropical Atlantic. Regardless of tropical cyclone
    formation, this system could bring rain and gusty winds to portions
    of the Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent"
     
  20. jaklsurfs

    jaklsurfs Well-Known Member

    501
    Apr 26, 2015
    Waves down here on crystal coast yesterday , kinda windy but it was fun,this morning the winds have dropped a bit so maybe well get lucky