TS Noel

Discussion in 'Mid Atlantic' started by Chris Joyner, Oct 28, 2007.

  1. wallysurfr

    wallysurfr Well-Known Member

    918
    Oct 23, 2007
    that depends how much you like driving. haha. I'm staying up here. I wish i was still down in wilmington, NC though. it looks like they will see big swell for a good amount of time.
     
  2. rDJ

    rDJ Well-Known Member

    355
    Jul 23, 2007
    That depends... If I could... I would head to Frisco on Wednesday night and probably get shacked out my mind through Sunday. But if you're talking Nags Head, I would stay in jerz.
     

  3. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    surfer698,

    at the projected path, it looks like obx could deal with some northerly wind problems. If you had to make a decision today, I'd say stay at home... Still uncertainty in the path, so check the updates.
     
  4. rDJ

    rDJ Well-Known Member

    355
    Jul 23, 2007
    I'm a little concerned about the sand bars in Central Jersey and longer period ground swell. The Oct 20th swell was what? a 7-8 sec period, and the bars had built up so big and close to the beach (at least where I was) that waves were jacking up steep and closing out in the afternoon. With this swell being in the 10-11 sec range couldn't we see alot of close-outs again? Early saturday the angle may be better, but by Saturday afternoon and even Sunday we could be seeing fast steep closeouts again. Just a thought.
     
  5. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    there is going to be a mix of SE and ENE, so that might help the closeout situation.
     
  6. surfer698

    surfer698 Active Member

    31
    Oct 30, 2007
    i know its still far out now but will jerz see cleaner conditions then further south
     
  7. Chris Joyner

    Chris Joyner Moderator

    690
    May 23, 2006
    Unless you look at Frisco....
     
  8. Dawn_Patrol

    Dawn_Patrol Well-Known Member

    433
    Jan 26, 2007
    For the Delmarva, NOAA wavewatch III keeps slowly lowering the size of the SE groundswell with each model run....as of this morning its down to just 4-5 feet @ 11 seconds peaking overnight friday into saturday. Any thoughts?
     
  9. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    looks like more ENE than SE now. Looks like plenty of swell, keep it tuned here...
     
  10. Chris Joyner

    Chris Joyner Moderator

    690
    May 23, 2006
    Are you heading south? I am hoping the good days for here push out til Monday so I can return home and catch it good!
     
  11. Dawn_Patrol

    Dawn_Patrol Well-Known Member

    433
    Jan 26, 2007
    Yeah...the few south facing spots on Delmarva (that don't pick up any NE wind swell) i had in mind for wind protection are gonna be smaller now friday afternoon and saturday - im thinking chest high at best
     
  12. rDJ

    rDJ Well-Known Member

    355
    Jul 23, 2007
    Looks like Noel will merge with an extratropical low on Thursday after clearing the Bahamas and the combination of the two will produce Cat 1 - Cat 2 hurricane force winds, 70 mph, while it tracks NNE. When it does, it's gonna boogy outta here in a hurry and be up in Canada by Sunday. My question is how much energy will be left in the water with it moving that fast? What will late day Sunday and Monday look like?
     
  13. rDJ

    rDJ Well-Known Member

    355
    Jul 23, 2007
    Sunday looks like 10 sec E swell and NW winds for jerz. Close-out city. If the NE wind backs off on Saturday the SE swell direction could be better. Hoping for the best.
     
  14. JAMMAN

    JAMMAN Active Member

    25
    Oct 30, 2007
    you guys thinking friday is going to be VAS conditions or possibly a chance of the NE wind not totally destroying conditions for NJ?
     
  15. bmore surf

    bmore surf Well-Known Member

    112
    May 20, 2006
    Got a week old baby girl- surfing has depleted to nill. Yuo all get some waves this weekend .The forecast is hurting my desire to surf.Looks SOLID. I dig pics kkep em coming thanks
     
  16. Pirate

    Pirate Active Member

    27
    May 27, 2007
    HURRICANE NOEL!!!!!

    That's right. 75MPH - and as it transitions into an extra-tropical system it's going to STRENGTHEN - quite possibly up to 100MPH as it passes east of Jersey.

    It's also going to take a more westerly track than thought in the past.

    Good news!
     
  17. Pirate

    Pirate Active Member

    27
    May 27, 2007