From flhurricane.com: "A rather large African Easterly Wave and associated pouch, P22L, is nearing the westernmost tip of the continent. This wave has substantial model support for development late this week into next. Both wave pouch P21L (shown exiting Africa in the image above) and Invest 98L (SIX) ahead of it look likely to help mix out some of the huge swaths of dry, stable air in the region, and given other factors, this could be one to watch for potential impacts further west late next week. This wave is not yet Invest tagged, but will likely be so later this week and we will update the title as needed. " This is arguably looking like the most vigorous Cape Verde Season the Atlantic has seen in several years. " Chew on this SI buoys
Yeah...this one is the one that the GFS model actually brings all the way to off the East Coast(off Hatteras on this map a week from Saturday. (Invest 98 just goes north up the central Atlantic a few days earlier and gives us nothing) So yeah if you even care about 10-day forecasts, THIS one behind 98 is the one to watch. GFS model 10 days from now:
I like this model Mitch....look at the Lows lining up. Also, the High Pressure looks to be getting out of the way.
Fiona slowed down to 8mph which will allow it to deepen its low pressure in the center as it speeds up its central spin. This may be a winnah!! I am thinking of catching flights to PR next week as it passes north of there.
If that Bermuda high camps out to the east like the model says, we are in for a very nice run of swell.
Totally agree, I was wondering a few days ago what the High was going to do b/c it was camped out on the east coast basically (there was/is actually two of them). If that model 300 hours out holds, that High will just steer then our way....then we get plenty of swell and a much higher risk of the big one from your house to mine!!! Is it too early to start accumulating our Provisions? Bag a rice, Beer, beans, Batteries, Bs, etc
Flhurricane.com: We now have Incest 99L " 99L requires attention, at least for the east Caribbean, GFS model has it over Barbados Wednesday morning, then near Puerto Rico Saturday the 27th, over far eastern Bahamas on the 28th, then recurving between the US and Bermuda the next several days. (Out this far is not reliable, so it's more for watching where it trends). The euro, which was showing S. Florida Monday the 29th at the 0z, is now showing it in the Western Caribbean at the same time, weak. Therefore, the East Caribbean needs to watch it closely, and monitor trends elsewhere. "
