Vigorous Wave coming off Africa

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 3, 2017.

Page 4 of 5
  1. Aug 7, 2017 #61
    Kanman

    Kanman Well-Known Member

    732
    May 5, 2014
    ^ I could see it. That cmc2 model looks pretty lit. Let it stop out in the mid Atlantic and keep spinning.
     
    Kanman, Aug 7, 2017
    Kanman, Aug 7, 2017
  3. Aug 7, 2017 #62
    headhigh

    headhigh Well-Known Member

    2,985
    Jul 17, 2009
    Mitchell: Those waves looks dreamy. Trying super hard to not get too stoked yet, but you're making that difficult!!

    LBC: I just clicked the link. Fingers crossed that we all get some medicine and she stays far away from the coast. I'm putting a new blade on my chainsaw this week so that should keep it away from shore haha.
     
    headhigh, Aug 7, 2017
    headhigh, Aug 7, 2017

  5. Aug 7, 2017 #63
    Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    3,106
    Jan 5, 2009
     
    Mitchell, Aug 7, 2017
    Mitchell, Aug 7, 2017
  6. Aug 7, 2017 #64
    headhigh

    headhigh Well-Known Member

    2,985
    Jul 17, 2009
    Bob Masters isn't too keen on this storm making it to the east coast....

     
    headhigh, Aug 7, 2017
    headhigh, Aug 7, 2017
  7. Aug 7, 2017 #65
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    Flhurricane.com :
    "Euro is back to showing development of 99L, this time north of the Caribbean as a Tropical Storm in about 76 hours, and it moves generally west, keeps north of the Bahamas at 144 hours out and slowly starts to curve north by 168 hours out. No landfall, but cuts it close to the Outer Banks,.

    The 12Z GFS does not develop it."
     
    Betty, Aug 7, 2017
    Betty, Aug 7, 2017
  8. Aug 7, 2017 #66
    mushdoc

    mushdoc Well-Known Member

    323
    Jan 30, 2013
    This one is a dud...too much garbage air for it to crank up. Hope I am wrong but...
     
    mushdoc, Aug 7, 2017
    mushdoc, Aug 7, 2017
  9. Aug 8, 2017 #67
    LBCrew

    LBCrew Well-Known Member

    6,024
    Aug 12, 2009
    LBCrew, Aug 8, 2017
    LBCrew, Aug 8, 2017
  10. Aug 8, 2017 #68
    Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    Don't get your hopes up..."Development of this system is not expected during the
    next few days due to unfavorable environmental conditions", NHC quote
     
    Barry Cuda, Aug 8, 2017
    Barry Cuda, Aug 8, 2017
  11. Aug 8, 2017 #69
    DonQ

    DonQ Well-Known Member

    1,685
    Oct 23, 2014
    Word of the day...conjecture.
    You ain't living till your living it.
     
    DonQ, Aug 8, 2017
    DonQ, Aug 8, 2017
  12. Aug 8, 2017 #70
    headhigh

    headhigh Well-Known Member

    2,985
    Jul 17, 2009
    Not writing this one off quite yet. The forecast can jump back up just as quickly as it got downgraded. Remember on Friday when we were looking at a major hurricane?
     
    headhigh, Aug 8, 2017
    headhigh, Aug 8, 2017
  13. Aug 8, 2017 #71
    sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    5,399
    Jun 17, 2013
    Look like a gradual shift to the east, and the intensity models look good in 120 hours. Gert waves a comin' CHOO CHOO! The hype train has left the station (againne)
     
    sisurfdogg, Aug 8, 2017
    sisurfdogg, Aug 8, 2017
  14. Aug 8, 2017 #72
    mattinvb

    mattinvb Well-Known Member

    596
    Sep 9, 2014
    OMG i hope this happens. Have a house in frisco all next week, so this would line up perfectly!!!!
     
    mattinvb, Aug 8, 2017
    mattinvb, Aug 8, 2017
  15. Aug 8, 2017 #73
    sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    5,399
    Jun 17, 2013
    I shall refrain from posting videos of trains on this treadde, so as not to cause any winde shearre.
     
    sisurfdogg, Aug 8, 2017
    sisurfdogg, Aug 8, 2017
  16. Aug 8, 2017 #74
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    As of 2:00 pm EDT Tue Aug 8 2017 ...
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
    a trough of low pressure located about 700 miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles. Development of this system is not expected during the
    next few days due to unfavorable environmental conditions.

    However,
    some development of this system is possible this weekend while the
    system moves generally west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the
    western Atlantic.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
     
    Betty, Aug 8, 2017
    Betty, Aug 8, 2017
  17. Aug 8, 2017 #75
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    Flhurricane.com:

    "
    Euro shows a developing storm off the east coast next week (Development starts around Saturday), but does not make landfall and recurves it out to sea.

    6Z GFS does not develop 99L at all. "
     
    Betty, Aug 8, 2017
    Betty, Aug 8, 2017
  18. Aug 9, 2017 #76
    LBCrew

    LBCrew Well-Known Member

    6,024
    Aug 12, 2009
    "The NHC currently gives 99L a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days... The GFS, on the other hand, generates less convection, and maintains the upper low for longer, preventing development of 99L. It is not yet clear which model is correct about this interaction."

    I guess you're never wrong if you don't make a call. But odds are... Betty's right.
     
    LBCrew, Aug 9, 2017
    LBCrew, Aug 9, 2017
  19. Aug 9, 2017 #77
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    Disturbance 1: 0% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 8:00 am EDT Wed Aug 9 2017 ...
    Shower activity has increased a little this morning in association
    with a trough of low pressure located about 400 miles east of the
    Leeward Islands. Significant development of this system is not
    expected during the next couple of days due to unfavorable
    environmental conditions.

    However, conditions are forecast to
    become somewhat conducive for development of this system late this
    week and this weekend while it moves west-northwestward
    to northwestward over the western Atlantic.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
     
    Betty, Aug 9, 2017
    Betty, Aug 9, 2017
  20. Aug 9, 2017 #78
    Zeroevol

    Zeroevol Well-Known Member

    7,419
    Jun 22, 2009
    crap!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
    Zeroevol, Aug 9, 2017
    Zeroevol, Aug 9, 2017
  21. Aug 9, 2017 #79
    BassMon2

    BassMon2 Well-Known Member

    2,014
    Jan 27, 2015
    That was funny
     
    BassMon2, Aug 9, 2017
    BassMon2, Aug 9, 2017
  22. Aug 9, 2017 #80
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    As of 2:00 pm EDT Wed Aug 9 2017 ...

    Shower and thunderstorm activity in association with a trough of
    low pressure located about 350 miles east of the northern
    Leeward Islands has continued to increase slightly in organization
    since yesterday.

    While development should be slow to occur due to unfavorable environmental conditions,

    the environment is forecast to improve by this weekend while the trough moves northwestward over
    the western Atlantic.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
     
    Betty, Aug 9, 2017
    Betty, Aug 9, 2017
Page 4 of 5