This was posted two days ago: "For the past several days our better and best tropical cyclone genesis models have been going back and forth with development in or around the Caribbean next week. This region is often more favored for development late in the season, and conditions are already starting to appear more favorable. At present, it does look convincing that something will at least try to get going here, with maybe a feature getting Invest tagged by even later this weekend, and this thread will be updated with the first significant disturbance, if warranted. It is worth noting that of the 17 US hurricane landfalls since 1900 that occurred after October 15, 12 of them did so on Florida, with the rest on Texas (2), Louisiana (2), and Alabama (1). (Credit: Phil Klotzbach). " flhurricane.com
