Watching the Gulf system

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Jun 12, 2015.

  1. StuckontheGulf

    StuckontheGulf Well-Known Member

    524
    Apr 23, 2012
    All eyes and hope on this system for us here on W FL. Thanks for keeping us posted Betty. The gfs models have been calling this for weeks but it never materialized so I kinda gave up. New stoke now! I am in dire need of some surf. Wake surfing behind the boat isn't cutting it.
     
  2. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    767
    Mar 29, 2011

  3. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012

    Good save!
     
  4. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Recon plane scheduled in a few hours to check out the system . They set odds for tropical formation in 48 hours at 60%.
     
  5. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    promises, promises....
     
  6. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    767
    Mar 29, 2011
    I thought it was odd that it actually strengthened over the Yucatan. Usually they weaken when they pass over it. I am thinking this might be a strong little storm.
     
  7. Valhallalla

    Valhallalla Well-Known Member

    Jan 24, 2013
    Awesome!
     
  8. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    Get your umbrellas ready. Stow away your surfboards--reports say it is, presently moving northwesterly direction....rain, rain, rain......
     
  9. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Where were you today? Sunrise surfing was such fun! Those perfect fat rolling 2 to 2.5' waves and no crowd :)
     
  10. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2015

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. A surface trough of low pressure has moved off of the Yucatan
    peninsula and into the southern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon. The
    system is accompanied by an area of thunderstorms and winds to
    near gale force well to the east of the trough, but it does not yet
    have a well-defined closed circulation. This weather system is
    expected to move northwestward over the next couple of days across
    the western Gulf of Mexico, where upper-level winds are forecast to
    gradually become more favorable for tropical cyclone formation. An
    Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft will investigate the
    system late this afternoon, with another mission planned for
    Monday morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of
    Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For additional
    information, please see High Seas forecasts as well as products
    issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
     
  11. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Data from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft
    indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed in association
    with the surface trough and upper-level low over the south-central
    Gulf of Mexico. However, the low's circulation is not well-defined,
    and the current shower and thunderstorm activity remains somewhat
    disorganized. The aircraft also found a large area of tropical
    storm force winds well to the north and northeast of the low.
    Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable
    while this system moves northwestward during the next couple of days
    across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression or
    tropical storm could form during that time. Another Hurricane
    Hunter aircraft will investigate this system Monday morning.

    Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should
    monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical cyclone
    formation, tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of
    the middle and upper Texas coast and the western Louisiana coast
    Monday night and Tuesday. There is also a risk of heavy rainfall
    and possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western
    Louisiana. For additional information, please see High Seas
    Forecasts and products issued by your local National Weather Service
    forecast office.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high
    ...80 percent
     
  12. Lipsmacker

    Lipsmacker Well-Known Member

    264
    Sep 17, 2012
    We e had waves in the waist to chest range and fairly clean for here since Friday. More on tap tomorrow
     
  13. ibc

    ibc Well-Known Member

    Aug 3, 2014
    A little smaller today, but more of the same today during the am rain. There were some fun faces to be found. Was great to be back out there!

    :)
     
  14. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    767
    Mar 29, 2011
    Getting better and better...
     
  15. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    767
    Mar 29, 2011
    We will have to meet up next time Paulie, im shooting for Tuesday at some point.
     
  16. ibc

    ibc Well-Known Member

    Aug 3, 2014
    Yup. It might get a bit narly by Tuesday. I'm movin a bunch of equipment up to the 2nd floor for my boss in the am. Forecast is 7 ft and strong onshores.
     
  17. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    You mean a "storm surge"??? hahahaha!!
    I've bee listening to Cantore--he is my hero......he is never wrong.
    He knows all about the Gulf, after all, he is originally from Vermont, so why shouldn't he??!!??
     
  18. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Looks like it will become a tropical system within a day or two. I love hearing you guys talk about your surf sesh on the Gulf.
     
  19. StuckontheGulf

    StuckontheGulf Well-Known Member

    524
    Apr 23, 2012
    Probably a skunk for us on the WFL. When they are moving away we usually get nada.
     
  20. Kahuna Kai

    Kahuna Kai Well-Known Member

    Dec 13, 2010
    When its good its really good. Otherwise you gotta be patient on the gulf. Hope you guys get you some.