All eyes and hope on this system for us here on W FL. Thanks for keeping us posted Betty. The gfs models have been calling this for weeks but it never materialized so I kinda gave up. New stoke now! I am in dire need of some surf. Wake surfing behind the boat isn't cutting it.
Recon plane scheduled in a few hours to check out the system . They set odds for tropical formation in 48 hours at 60%.
I thought it was odd that it actually strengthened over the Yucatan. Usually they weaken when they pass over it. I am thinking this might be a strong little storm.
Get your umbrellas ready. Stow away your surfboards--reports say it is, presently moving northwesterly direction....rain, rain, rain......
Where were you today? Sunrise surfing was such fun! Those perfect fat rolling 2 to 2.5' waves and no crowd
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A surface trough of low pressure has moved off of the Yucatan peninsula and into the southern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon. The system is accompanied by an area of thunderstorms and winds to near gale force well to the east of the trough, but it does not yet have a well-defined closed circulation. This weather system is expected to move northwestward over the next couple of days across the western Gulf of Mexico, where upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable for tropical cyclone formation. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft will investigate the system late this afternoon, with another mission planned for Monday morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For additional information, please see High Seas forecasts as well as products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
Data from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed in association with the surface trough and upper-level low over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. However, the low's circulation is not well-defined, and the current shower and thunderstorm activity remains somewhat disorganized. The aircraft also found a large area of tropical storm force winds well to the north and northeast of the low. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable while this system moves northwestward during the next couple of days across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form during that time. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate this system Monday morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast and the western Louisiana coast Monday night and Tuesday. There is also a risk of heavy rainfall and possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts and products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
We e had waves in the waist to chest range and fairly clean for here since Friday. More on tap tomorrow
A little smaller today, but more of the same today during the am rain. There were some fun faces to be found. Was great to be back out there!
Yup. It might get a bit narly by Tuesday. I'm movin a bunch of equipment up to the 2nd floor for my boss in the am. Forecast is 7 ft and strong onshores.
You mean a "storm surge"??? hahahaha!! I've bee listening to Cantore--he is my hero......he is never wrong. He knows all about the Gulf, after all, he is originally from Vermont, so why shouldn't he??!!??
Looks like it will become a tropical system within a day or two. I love hearing you guys talk about your surf sesh on the Gulf.
When its good its really good. Otherwise you gotta be patient on the gulf. Hope you guys get you some.