Watching the Gulf system

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Jun 12, 2015.

  1. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    776
    Mar 29, 2011
    Gonna try to go out on Tuesday if i can.
     
  2. ibc

    ibc Well-Known Member

    Aug 3, 2014
    It's lookin like we're gonna get some pretty rough surf tomorrow. They already pulled all the lifeguard towers and trash cans off the beach this mornin. Storm's supposed to hit south of us, so we'll be on the side with onshore winds. Way down south around Padre, they're probably gonna get a few hours of at least sorta offshores.
     

  3. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    776
    Mar 29, 2011
    Yeah will keep my eye on it before i head out. Maybe you can be an eye witness report of whether its too blown out or not.
     
  4. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated
    the broad area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico this morning,
    and found that the circulation was too poorly defined to qualify the
    system as a tropical cyclone. However, thunderstorm activity
    continues to become better organized this afternoon, and the low
    will very likely become a tropical storm this afternoon or this
    evening as it continues moving to the northwest.

    Maximum sustained winds with the low are estimated to be near 45
    mph, and interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico
    should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Regardless
    of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are likely
    along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast, and possible in
    extreme southwestern Louisiana, tonight and Tuesday. The system is
    also likely to bring heavy rainfall with possible flooding across
    portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana. For additional
    information, please see High Seas Forecasts and products issued by
    your local National Weather Service forecast office.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
     
  5. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Your Clearwater buoy shows 3.6' but the SI forecast says, "Flat"-- interesting discrepancy
     
  6. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    8 PM update NOAA


    Surface observations and preliminary data from an Air Force Reserve
    Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft currently investigating the area of
    low pressure located about 200 miles southeast of the middle Texas
    coast indicate that the center has become better defined since
    earlier today. If these trends continue, advisories will be
    initiated later this evening on Tropical Storm Bill.
     
  7. Lipsmacker

    Lipsmacker Well-Known Member

    264
    Sep 17, 2012
    image.jpg
    Panama City Beach this morning. Stayed pretty clean all day. Very rare on the gulf
     
  8. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    776
    Mar 29, 2011
    Could this storm be coined tropical storm South Jetty Bill?
     
  9. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Nice photo!

    Tropical Storm Bill formed last night.
     
  10. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    For those of you on the East Coast of the USA, you will see NO surf from this. As I stated before it is headed NORTHWEST, soon to hit land, dissipate into more rain for Texas (just what they need, right??).

    This is just the first one of the season (maybe second?). Hopefully, mo' beta ones to come soon, and on the East Coast as well.....
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Jun 16, 2015
  11. brewengineer

    brewengineer Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2011
    I would just take another one of those tropical storms like we had last month. 3 straight days of waist to chest high waves and off-shore winds.
     
  12. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    Yup, that would be ideal for me as well. Here in NH, larger storms are rare. Every couple of years we may get an exhausted hurricane that sits off the coast for a day or two, but most go running by us as if they are racing to Iceland. We are in a deep flat stretch now; have had nothing but thigh to waist at best for the last 2 months or so.
     
  13. ibc

    ibc Well-Known Member

    Aug 3, 2014
    Just came from the Seawall. Nobody is out anywhere. There are a few rideable faces out there, but I don't personally feel it's worth the work to paddle out, at least now.

    Pier: The "T" is going under water when the bigger (6 - 7 feet?) waves hit it.

    37th: White water out 200 yds past the end of the rock groin.

    Several of the no swimming signs and posts are floating in the surf.

    Maybe later this afternoon, or tomorrow, it might get a tad more civil out there.
     
  14. Riley Martin

    Riley Martin Well-Known Member

    Jan 13, 2015
    It should. Thanks for the suggestion.

    Wow, this Texas/Gulf excitement is the only good thing going right now. I just love the hoopla of approaching storms.

    Hey, you guys got a lot of weather the past month. Hope y'all weathered the storms ok.
     
  15. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    776
    Mar 29, 2011
    Yeah the wife said something about not wanting me washed out to sea so i guess I'll wait til tomorrow. Probably be at work dang it.
     
  16. ibc

    ibc Well-Known Member

    Aug 3, 2014
    I think Bolivar is closed. We're gonna have some level of surf for days, though. It's all good.
     
  17. seldom seen

    seldom seen Well-Known Member

    Aug 21, 2012
    mo barry <grin>

    Lipsmacker glad you got some, twas a nice nugget you photographed.
     
  18. ibc

    ibc Well-Known Member

    Aug 3, 2014
    Hey Riley. It's been so flat here til lately. This is a bit much today though! Lookin forward to a good summer. It's been a wild month down here to start the season, though. I think we had 3 folks in the past month died swimming off the seawall.
     
  19. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Nice to hear the updates from the boys on the Gulf. I wonder if Wednesday or Thursday might clean up a bit. But watch for debris in it. I recall surfing after Sandy bypassed Florida. A freaking dock floated by us in the lineup.
     
  20. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Good for youse guys! Glad you are getting some, more storms to come, Summer is just getting started!