what happened to the weekend forecast

Discussion in 'Mid Atlantic' started by ihatelongboarders, Oct 15, 2008.

  1. ihatelongboarders

    ihatelongboarders Well-Known Member

    Dec 13, 2007
  2. JerseySurfRat89

    JerseySurfRat89 Well-Known Member

    256
    Oct 6, 2007
    i know.....................
     

  3. GnarActually

    GnarActually Well-Known Member

    931
    Sep 30, 2007
    cape may was looking good to....so was ocean city......magicseaweed went from 17ft on sunday to 5ft for capemay in one day....
     
  4. somesurfer4

    somesurfer4 Active Member

    33
    Jul 17, 2008
    yea same for Seaside looked good 7 ft down to 2???
     
  5. sosodel

    sosodel Well-Known Member

    146
    Mar 6, 2008
    seaweeds annoying they dont show swell and wind together which is annoying to figure out how nice it will actually be.. and im pretty sure swellinfo did not have 17ft predictions down to 5 it was off but not that bad
     
  6. PatSayJack

    PatSayJack Well-Known Member

    205
    Aug 20, 2008
  7. Driftingalong

    Driftingalong Well-Known Member

    356
    Mar 6, 2008
    Works for me...I was going out of town anyway. :p
     
  8. oipaul

    oipaul Well-Known Member

    671
    May 23, 2006
    if you're smart you'll start working on your excuse for monday...
     
  9. Aguaholic

    Aguaholic Well-Known Member

    Oct 26, 2007
    Just sit back and wait you know the predictions are gonna change day to day. Hopefully, we will have swell. I noticed the pickup in wave size last night. I may have to call out on Monday though :D
     
    Last edited: Oct 16, 2008
  10. aka pumpmaster

    aka pumpmaster Well-Known Member

    Apr 30, 2008
    How many times do i have to say it, magicseasweed is a fukin joke. I did a study last year and compared swellinfo, MS, surfline and a couple 'local' forecasts to the actual conditions they were calling. For example I took all the forecasters calls for weekends over a 3 month period and recorded them on a spreadsheet every Thursday. Then I recorded the ACTUAL conditions for those same dates. Swell Info was right 68% of the time followed by the local guys (surf shops) then surfline. Magicseaweed was only right 22% of the time, and to make matters worse, their margin of error was HUGE. Much of the time they would indicated big swell that was way outside the realm of possibility for our area, when the actual conditions were dead flat with howling offshores. I think their models must look way out to sea cause that would explain the size they forecast (with 40 kt west winds it probably IS super big 100 miles out!).
     
  11. Aguaholic

    Aguaholic Well-Known Member

    Oct 26, 2007
  12. rgnsup

    rgnsup Well-Known Member

    Jun 23, 2008
    That is awesome you did that. Did you post it up anywhere? I'm interested in seeing this..

    CHEERS TO SWELLINFO!!! :D
     
  13. aka pumpmaster

    aka pumpmaster Well-Known Member

    Apr 30, 2008
    I did it to shut up a buddy who was huge on surfer supply and down on SI. I'm currently working on a new one that adds a few more sites and when that is done, I'll post it here.
     
  14. rgnsup

    rgnsup Well-Known Member

    Jun 23, 2008
    Sick... how long of a period will this one be over and how far into it are you?
     
  15. aka pumpmaster

    aka pumpmaster Well-Known Member

    Apr 30, 2008
    i should have some decent data but Thanksgiving but this will only be for OCNJ.
     
  16. chrisd468

    chrisd468 Well-Known Member

    96
    Sep 26, 2007
    it went away because you touch yourself at night
     
  17. rgnsup

    rgnsup Well-Known Member

    Jun 23, 2008
    Works for me... I'm outta AC/LBI.
     
  18. Shakagrom

    Shakagrom Well-Known Member

    589
    Aug 22, 2008
    Looks like the forecasts are increasing every day that we get closer to the weekend. if the winds work out it could be fun.