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Remnants of Emily Watch

Posted: Friday Aug 5, 2011     By: Swellinfo     Category: Forecast

Hopes for East Coast Emily swell linger

What is now the Remnants of Tropical Storm Emily, continues to be a doozie of a system to forecast. After the announcement of yesterday's demise of Emily's tropical storm status, we felt it prudent to make aware the remaining swell potential from Emily to the East Coast.

The system, while very poorly organized this morning, will be tracking Northwest across the Bahamian Islands through Saturday. As it does, the potential for re-organization exists. But, whether the storm re-organizes or not, potential for southerly fetch on the eastern side of the system seems possible. Using the word "possible" carefully, as the models continue to waver on the future development of this system.

The next 48 hours will be telling on how much southerly fetch develops. Below is a Swellinfo wave map image, showing current projected southerly winds on the eastern edge of the system. This scenario would provide wave energy to exposed areas in the Southeast up towards the southern facing areas in the Northeast, with the strongest surf likely around the Outer Banks. The Swellinfo forecasts will represent the latest model guidance, so please keep an eye on your local forecast updates as the outlook will become more vivid over the next 48 hours. The Swellinfo forecasts are updated every morning and evening around 6am and 6pm.