Tropical Storm Karen developed this morning in the Eastern Tropics. Karen is sitting approx. 1500 miles east of the Windward Islands moving WNW at 16mph with maximum sustained winds near 40mph.
Karen is expected continue on her WNW path over the next 24 to 48 hours with gradual strengthening. The National Hurricane Center then puts Karen close to Hurricane strength (max. sustained winds of 74mph) after 72 hours on Friday.
Karen is currently very far from the US East Coast at this point, however the storm's WNW path does put her into the East Coast swell window. All model guidance suggests that after 48-72 hours, Karen will make a NW or N shift towards the Central Atlantic. This is not the best scenario for East Coast swell production, however there is a good likelihood that Karen will generate some swell energy towards much of the East Coast. The size of these swells will be dependent upon both the intensity and path Karen takes. If Karen can stay on more of a Westward path, then this is more ideal for East Coast swell generation than a more northerly path.
Keep it tuned into Swellinfo, as we will continue to update you with the latest on Karen and the rest of the tropics.